资源与产业 ›› 2017, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (6): 30-36.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20171215.001

• 资源管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于VAR的废铜进口对城市经济发展影响的研究——以台州市为例

沈泓成   

  1. (台州学院 经贸管理学院,浙江 台州 318000)
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-14 修回日期:2017-10-30 出版日期:2017-12-20 发布日期:2018-01-18
  • 通讯作者: 沈泓成 (E-mail: 173073566@qq.com)
  • 基金资助:
    台州市社科联项目重点课题 (15YZ06);台州市哲学社科规划项目一般课题(15SGHY02)。

A CASE STUDY ON TAIZHOU CITY: INFLUENCE OF COPPER SCRAP IMPORT ON URBAN ECONOMY BASED ON VAR MODEL

Shen Hongcheng   

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Taizhou University, Taizhou 318000, China)
  • Received:2017-09-14 Revised:2017-10-30 Online:2017-12-20 Published:2018-01-18
  • Supported by:
     

摘要:

基于C-D生产理论,文章运用VAR模型,通过脉冲响应函数法和方差分解法,对台州市2000—2013年共14年的废铜进口总值和阀门出口总值进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:台州市废铜进口不仅是阀门出口总值的格兰杰原因,而且对阀门出口的影响具有滞后性和衰退性。台州市要发展绿色可持续经济,需要维持废铜进口量来满足本地制造业对金属资源的需求。

 

关键词: 非资源型城市, 再生金属产业, VAR模型

Abstract:

This paper, based on C-D production theory, applies VAR model and impulse response function and variance decomposition to analyze the dynamic relation between copper scrap imports and valve exports during 2000 to 2013, with the result showing that Taizhou's copper scrap import not only is the Granger cause of valve export, but also casts hysteresis and retrogression on valve export. Taizhou needs to maintain copper scrap import to meet its local manufacturing in order to develop its green sustainable economy.

Key words: non-resources city, recycling metallic industry, VAR model

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