资源与产业 ›› 2022, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (5): 117-123.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20221012.003

• 非主题来稿选登 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于知识流动热点数据的成品油销售企业零售客户流失建模分析

朱萸,何治呈   

  1. (中国石油天然气股份有限公司四川销售分公司,四川 成都 61000)
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-02 修回日期:2022-01-22 出版日期:2022-10-20 发布日期:2022-12-23
  • 作者简介:朱萸,博士生、工程师,主要从事数字管理应用下的成品油零售客户流失模型研究。E-mail:hequesu0dl@163.com

MODELLING OF RETAIL CUSTOMER LOSS OF REFINED OIL ENTERPRISES BASED ON KNOWLEDGE FLOW HOTSPOT DATA#br#

ZHU Yu, HE Zhicheng   

  1. (Sichuan Sales Branch, PetroChina, Chengdu 610000, China)
  • Received:2021-08-02 Revised:2022-01-22 Online:2022-10-20 Published:2022-12-23

摘要: 针对客户流失预测不准确、客户流失风险识别不及时等问题,结合企业知识流动热点数据的变化特征,建立石油资源零售客户流失优化模型。根据用户的购买行为特征,对成品油销售企业零售客户进行划分,收集成品油销售企业零售知识流动热点数据,分析不同的客户流失影响因素,设置目标变量、影响变量和输入变量,定义月流失率作为衡量指标,通过客户流失类型确定和预测成品油销售企业零售客户流失量,得出成品油销售企业零售客户流失模型的输出结果。实例验证结果表明,该模型可以获得更精准的客户流失预测结果,为成品油销售企业勘探企业开展客户维护工作提供参考。

关键词: 知识流动, 热点数据, 成品油销售, 客户流程

Abstract: Aiming at the problems of inaccurate prediction of customer loss and untimely identification of customer loss risk, combined with the changing characteristics of hot data of knowledge flow, an optimization model of retail customer loss of refined oil enterprises is established. According to the purchase behavior characteristics of users, the retail customers of refined oil enterprises are divided, the hot data of retail knowledge flow of refined oil enterprises are collected, different factors affecting customer loss are analyzed, target variables, influence variables and input variables are set, and the monthly loss rate is defined as a metric indicator. The loss of retail customers of refined oil enterprises is determined and predicted by the type of customer loss, The output results of the model are obtained. The case verification results show that the model can obtain more accurate customer churn prediction results, and provide reference for the maintenance of exploration customers of product oil enterprises.

Key words: knowledge flow, hotspot data, refined oil enterprises, customer flowchart

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