基于投入产出和生态网络分析的广东省能源消费行业差异研究

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20221027.003

资源与产业 ›› 2022, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (6): 44-53.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20221027.003

基于投入产出和生态网络分析的广东省能源消费行业差异研究

许文浩¹，解玉磊²，嵇灵³，夏德宏⁴，徐毅⁵

(1 .北京师范大学环境学院，北京 100875; 2.广东工业大学环境生态工程研究院，广东广州 510006；3 .北京工业大学经济与管理学院，北京 100124; 4 .北京科技大学能源与环境工程学院，北京 100083; 5. 北京大学环境科学与工程学院，北京 100871)

收稿日期:2021-11-15 修回日期:2022-04-06 出版日期:2022-12-20 发布日期:2023-02-21
通讯作者: 解玉磊，博士、教授，主要从事生态环境系统模拟规划研究。E-mail: xieyulei001@gmail.com
作者简介:许文浩，博士研究生，主要从事资源与环境系统分析研究。E-mail: xwh0927@foxmail.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(51609003,72074013)；广东省引进创新创业团队项目(2019ZT08L213)

VARIANCE STUDY ON GUANGDONG'S ENERGY CONSUMPTION SECTOR BASED ON INPUT/OUTPUT & ECOLOGICAL NETWORK ANALYSIS

XU Wenhao¹, XIE Yulei², JI Ling³, XIA Dehong⁴, XU Yi⁵

(1.School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China；2.Institute of Environmental and Ecological Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China;3.College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;4.School of Energy and Environmental Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China;5.College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

Received:2021-11-15 Revised:2022-04-06 Online:2022-12-20 Published:2023-02-21

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

广东省在快速推进工业化和新型城镇化建设的同时，对能源消费的需求也随之迅猛增长。如何调整广东省能源消费结构，推动能源集约化、清洁化发展，努力降低碳排放已经成为广东省响应与实现中央“双碳”战略所必须解决的关键性问题。从多角度分析广东省各行业能源消费的动态变化特征，探索能源消费网络中各行业之间的生态关系，有助于为广东省“五位一体”总体布局制定差异化的节能降耗政策提供科学的理论依据和政策建议。本文通过收集广东省2007年、2012年、2017年经济投入产出表与能源消费清单，依托投入产出理论和生态网络分析法，构建投入产出-生态网络模型，定量分析与评价广东省社会经济系统中26个行业直接、间接的能源消耗和行业间的能源流动情况及其行业间的生态关系。研究结果表明：1)从直接能耗来看，交通运输、仓储及邮政业(S24)与金属冶炼及压延加工业(S13)是政策制定者特别需要关注的重点行业，而化学工业(S11)和非金属矿物制品业(S12)等重工业造成的间接能耗同样不容忽视；2)建筑业(S23)与非金属矿物制品业(S12)之间呈现出较强的关联性，能源消费系统共生指数小于1，系统处于亚健康状态；3)第二产业和第三产业之间呈现出较强的控制与依赖关系，在鼓励产业转型的同时也应重视两大产业的协调发展。为了节约能源、降低消耗，广东省除了需要采取生产侧的节能降耗措施外，还应采取消费侧的节能降耗措施，如提高中间产品利用率、发展循环经济等等，并可以尝试搭建多行业协作节能系统，推动节能降耗从单行业调控向多行业协同调控发展。

关键词: 能源消费, 投入产出, 生态网络分析, 产业转型, 广东省

Abstract: Guangdong province has surging demand for energy consumption as it speeds up its industrialization and new urbanization, leaving key points on how to adjust provincial energy consumption structure, boost intensive and clean use of energy and decrease carbon emission as Guangdong’s responses to “Dual Carbon Strategy”. This paper analyzes the dynamic changes of energy consumption in each sectors in Guangdong province from multiple perspectives, explores their ecological relations of sectors in energy consumption networks, and presents scientific theoretical basis and policy recommendations for Guangdong to make differentiated energy saving consumption reducing policies regarding its “Five-in-One” overall layout. By collecting the input-output tables and energy consumption lists of Guangdong province in 2007, 2012 and 2017, this paper relies on input-output theory and ecological network analysis. By constructing an input-output ecological network model, the direct and indirect energy consumption of 26 sectors in the social and economic system of Guangdong, the energy flow among the sectors and the ecological relationship among the sectors were quantitatively analyzed and evaluated. From the perspective of direct energy consumption, transportation, warehousing, and postal industry(S24)and manufacture of metal smelting and rolling processing(S13)are key industries that policy makers need to pay special attention to, while indirect energy consumption caused by heavy industries such as chemical industry(S11)and manufacture of nonmetal mineral products(S12)cannot be ignored. A strong correlation exists between construction(S23)and manufacture of nonmetal mineral products(S12)with a coexisting index less than 1 in energy consumption system, suggesting a sub-healthy system. A strong control and reliance is displayed between the secondary and the tertiary industries, which needs a coordinated development while encouraging industrial transformation. This paper presents suggestions for Guangdong on executing energy saving consumption reducing approaches both in production and consumption sides, and increasing the utilization rate of inter-medium products and developing recycling economy. A trans-sector cooperative energy saving system is proposed to promote a shift in energy saving consumption reducing from single sector to multiple sectors.

Key words: energy consumption, input/output, ecological network analysis, industrial transformation, Guangdong province

中图分类号:

F206

许文浩, 解玉磊, 嵇灵, 等.

基于投入产出和生态网络分析的广东省能源消费行业差异研究 [J]. 资源与产业, 2022, 24(6): 44-53.

XU Wenhao, XIE Yulei, JI Ling, et al. VARIANCE STUDY ON GUANGDONG'S ENERGY CONSUMPTION SECTOR BASED ON INPUT/OUTPUT & ECOLOGICAL NETWORK ANALYSIS [J]. Resources & Industries, 2022, 24(6): 44-53.

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基于投入产出和生态网络分析的广东省能源消费行业差异研究

VARIANCE STUDY ON GUANGDONG'S ENERGY CONSUMPTION SECTOR BASED ON INPUT/OUTPUT & ECOLOGICAL NETWORK ANALYSIS

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