资源与产业 ›› 2014, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (2): 8-14.

• 资源管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国海洋风能产业化财政支撑政策研究:基于系统动力模型

单春红*,孔海峥*   

  1. 中国海洋大学 经济学院,山东 青岛 266100
  • 收稿日期:2013-10-12 修回日期:2013-12-09 出版日期:2014-04-20 发布日期:2014-04-20
  • 通讯作者: 单春红(Email: chunhongshan@126.com) 孔海峥(Email: konghaizheng@126.com)
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究项目(12YJA790020); 山东省中青年科学家科研奖励基金项目(BS2010HZ025); 中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院项目(2012JDPY01)

FINANCIAL SUPPORTIVE POLICY ON CHINA'S MARINE WIND POWER INDUSTRY BASED ON SYSTEM DYNAMICS THEORY

SHAN Chunhong*, KONG Haizheng*   

  1. School of Economics, China University of Ocean, Qingdao 266100, China
  • Received:2013-10-12 Revised:2013-12-09 Online:2014-04-20 Published:2014-04-20
  • Contact: SHAN Chunhong(Email: chunhongshan@126.com) KONG Haizheng(Email: konghaizheng@126.com)

摘要: 运用系统动力学理论和方法,分析海洋风能产业化过程中的主体及循环反馈结构,遵循“投入—转化—产出”反馈回路选取若干系统影响变量,通过分析各变量之间的因果关系最终构建我国海洋风能产业化系统动力模型。基于系统动力模型,研究并比较我国海洋风能产业化财政支撑政策的作用回路,得出结论:政府购买支撑政策作用于产出子系统,适用于海洋风能产业化发展的初期阶段;政府补贴支撑政策作用于转化和产出子系统,适用于产业化发展的初期和中期阶段;优惠税率支撑政策作用于转化子系统,适用于产业化发展的中期和后期阶段。

关键词: 海洋风能, 产业化, 财政支撑政策, 系统动力学

Abstract: This paper applies system dynamics theory to analyze the majority and circuit feedback structure during oceanic wind power industrialization by selecting several system variables by abiding by “inputtransferoutput” feedback circuit. Their causality forms the system dynamics model of Chinas oceanic wind power industrialization that is adopted to compare the loop of financial supportive policy, with concluding that the supportive policy purchased by government on output subsystem adapts to the original stage, that compensated on transfer & output subsystems adapts to the original and medium stages, that taxpromoted on transfer subsystem adapts to the medium and late stages.

Key words: oceanic wind power, industrialization, financial supportive policy, system dynamics

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