资源与产业 ›› 2015, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 18-26.

• 资源战略 • 上一篇    下一篇

海外铜矿产资源开发战略选区 风险评价模型与应用

龚婷1,*,郑明贵2   

  1. 1江西科技学院外语外贸学院,江西南昌330098;2江西理工大学经济管理学院,江西赣州341000
  • 收稿日期:2014-10-17 修回日期:2014-12-16 出版日期:2015-02-20 发布日期:2015-02-20
  • 通讯作者: 龚婷(E-mail: gongting19880318@163.com)
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目(12CGL008);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(12YJA790208);江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目(JJ1221)。

RISK EVALUATION MODEL OF STRATEGIC TARGETS SELECTION OF OVERSEAS COPPER DEVELOPMENT AND ITS APPLICATION

GONG Ting1,*, ZHENG Minggui2   

  1. 1School of Foreign Studies, Jiangxi University of Technology, Nanchang 330098, China; 2School of Economics and Management, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
  • Received:2014-10-17 Revised:2014-12-16 Online:2015-02-20 Published:2015-02-20

摘要: 在对海外铜矿产资源开发战略选区的风险进行识别的基础上,结合专家调查法建立了相应的评价指标体系,然后利用Matlab软件进行编程,构建基于云物元理论的海外铜矿产资源开发战略选区风险评价模型,并将模型应用于12个铜矿产资源相对比较丰富的国家进行风险分析。结果表明,智利、秘鲁、加拿大、澳大利亚和赞比亚处于“较低”风险等级,这与企业现实中所选择的海外投资区域是一致的,说明构建的风险评价模型具有科学性和有效性。

关键词: 海外投资, 铜矿产资源, 战略选区, 风险评价, 云物元模型

Abstract: This paper, based on the risks identification of strategic targets selection of overseas copper resources development, and combined with expert survey, sets up evaluation index system, and uses Matlab to establish cloudmaterialelement theoretical risks evaluation model of strategic targets selection of overseas copper resources development, which is used to evaluate the risks in twelve copperrich countries. Results indicate a lower risk in Chile, Peru, Canada, Australia and Zambia, consistent with enterprises practice, meaning the model is useful.

Key words: overseas investment, copper resources, strategic targets selection, risk evaluation, cloudmaterialelement model

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