鄂尔多斯市水资源管理最优化模拟与评价

资源与产业 ›› 2015, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 35-42.

鄂尔多斯市水资源管理最优化模拟与评价

柯文岚1,2,*，沙景华1,2，张国丰1,2,3，闫晶晶1,2

1中国地质大学人文经管学院,北京100083；2国土资源部资源环境承载力评价重点实验室,北京100083； 3石家庄经济学院经管学院,河北石家庄050031

收稿日期:2014-10-21 修回日期:2014-11-26 出版日期:2015-02-20 发布日期:2015-02-20
通讯作者: 柯文岚(E-mail: Stacys1988@126.com)
基金资助:
国土资源部资源环境承载力评价重点实验室项目 (CCA201314)

WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZED MODELING AND EVALUATION IN ORDOS CITY

KE Wenlan1, 2, *, SHA Jinghua1, 2, ZHANG Guofeng1, 2, 3, YAN Jingjing1, 2

1School of Humanities and Economic Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; 2Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resources and Environment, MLR, Beijing 100083, China; 3School of Economics and Management, Shijiazhuang University of Economics, Shijiazhuang 050031, China

Received:2014-10-21 Revised:2014-11-26 Online:2015-02-20 Published:2015-02-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 成长型矿业城市社会经济发展与水资源间矛盾突出，如何实现在水资源有限和水污染减排约束下经济最优化发展是当前和未来迫切需要解决的问题。运用多目标最优化评价方法，建构包含社会经济、水资源供需、水环境改善在内的区域最优化发展评价模型，通过Lingo软件对鄂尔多斯市2014—2025年社会经济发展、水资源、水环境进行模拟预测与分析。研究表明，实施3种污水处理技术和产业结构调整的综合政策后，该市再生水循环利用率达到739%，再生水生产量增加了9 395万m3，水污染物质COD排放减少了24%，经济年增长速度为74%，实现了矿业城市可持续发展目标。这说明区域最优化发展评价模型能够为区域资源环境经济协调发展提供具有可操作性的实施方案，为政府制定科学合理的资源环境政策提供依据。

关键词: 水环境改善, 多目标最优化, 协调发展, 政策评价, 鄂尔多斯市

Abstract: Developing mining cities encounter a conflict between economy and water resources, making a necessity in developing economy under limited water resources and preventing water pollution. This paper uses multiple objectives optimization method to set up a model including society, economy, water supply and demand, water environmental improvement, which is applied to forecast and analyze Ordoss economy, water resources and water environment by means of Lingo software from 2014—2025. After three polluted water processing technologies were applied and industrial structure was adjusted, Ordoss water can be recycled up to 739%, equivalent to 93 950 000 m3 in addition. COD in polluted water decreases by 24%, and economy rises by 74%, achieving sustainable development in mining city. Such an optimized evaluation model can provide a workable plan for coordinated development of regional environment and resources, offering references for government to make rational resources and environment policy.

Key words: water environmental improvement, multiple objectives optimization, coordinated development, policy evaluation, Ordos city

中图分类号:

F205
F224.31

柯文岚，沙景华，张国丰，闫晶晶. 鄂尔多斯市水资源管理最优化模拟与评价[J]. 资源与产业, 2015, 17(1): 35-42.

KE Wen-lan, SHA Jing-hua, ZHANG Guo-feng, YAN Jing-jing. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZED MODELING AND EVALUATION IN ORDOS CITY[J]. Resources & Industries, 2015, 17(1): 35-42.

参考文献

\
[1\]柯文岚, 沙景华, 闫晶晶. 基于系统动力学的鄂尔多斯市生态经济系统均衡发展研究\
[J\]. 资源与产业, 2013, 15(5): 1926 \
[2\]李和平. 区域水资源高效利用与可持续发展关键技术研究: 以国家能源重化工基地鄂尔多斯市为例\
[M\]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 2011 \
[3\]Apostolidis N, Hertle H, Young R. Water recycling in Australia\
[J\]. Water, 2011, 3(3): 869881 \
[4\]Angelakis A N, Bonoux L, Lazarova V. Challenges and prospective for water recycling and reuse in EU countries\
[J\]. Water Science and Technology, 2003, 59(3): 5968 \
[5\]Hong Y, Abbaspour K C. Analysis of wastewater reuse potential in Beijing\
[J\]. Desalination, 2007, 212(1/3): 238250 \
[6\]Andrew H, Ainsley A, Stefan H. A stochastic nonlinear programming model for a multiperiod water resource allocation with multiple objectives\
[J\]. Water Resources Management, 2008, 22: 14451460 \
[7\]Wolfgang B, Michael F, Arnim K. Modeling water allocating institutions based on multiple optimization problems with equilibrium constraints\
[J\]. Environmental Modeling and Software, 2013, 28: 196207 \
[8\]薛继亮. 生态脆弱地区高耗水产业和水权分配协同体系建设研究: 以黄河上中游流域为例\
[J\]. 资源与产业, 2014, 16(4): 5256 \
[9\]Akmam W, Higano Y. Supplying safe water in Bangladesh: a policy model based on multiobjective mixed integer programming\
[J\]. Papers in Regional Science, 2007, 86(1): 5775 \
[10\]Zhang Guofeng, Sha Jinghua, Wang Tunyen, et al. Comprehensive evaluation of socioeconomic and environmental impacts using membrane bioreactors for sewage treatment in Beijing\
[J\]. Journal of Pure and Applied Microbiology, 2013, 7: 553564 \
[11\]Helen E M, James R M. Sustainability of wastewater treatment technologies\
[J\]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2008, 88: 437447 \
[12\]Mizunoya T, Sakurai K, Kobayashi S, et al. A simulation analysis of synthetic environment policy: effective utilization of biomass resources and reduction of environmental burdens in Kasumigaura basin\
[J\]. Studies in Regional Science, 2006, 36(2): 355374 \
[13\]Leontief W W. The future of the world economy\
[M\]. New York: Oxford University Press, 1977 \
[14\]Lee K S. A generalized inputoutput model of an economy with environmental protection\
[J\]. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64(3): 466473 \
[15\]Moffatt I, Hanley N. Modeling sustainable development: systems dynamic and inputoutput approaches\
[J\]. Environmental Modeling and Software, 2001, 16(6): 545557 \
[16\]Xiang Nan, Yan Jingjing, Sha Jinghua, et al. Dynamic modeling and simulation of water environment management with a focus on water recycling\
[J\]. Water, 2014(6): 1731 \
[17\]Higano Y, Sawada T. The dynamic policy to improve the water quality of Lake Kasumigaura\
[J\]. Studies in Regional Science, 1997, 27(1): 7586 \
[18\]Higano Y, Yoneta A. Economic policies to relieve contamination of Lake Kasumigaura\
[J\]. Studies in Regional Science, 1999, 29(3): 205218 \
[19\]Hirose F, Yoshiro H. A simulation analysis to reduce pollutants from the catchment area of Lake Kasumigaura\
[J\]. Studies in Regional science, 2000, 30(1): 4763 \
[20\]Song Xiaomeng, Kong Fanzhe, Zhan Chesheng. Assessment of water resources carrying capacity in Tianjin city of China\
[J\]. Water Resources Management, 2011, 25: 857873 \
[21\]Peng J. MBR technology propels China into water reuse era\
[J/OL\]. \
[20141112\]. http://www. waterworld. com/articles/wwi/print/volume26/issue3/regulars/creativefinance/mbrtechnologypropelschinaintowater. html \
[22\]Yan Jingjing, Sha Jinghua, Chu Xiao, et al. Endogenous derivation of optimal environmental policies for proper treatment of stockbreeding wastes in the upstream region of the Miyun Reservoir, Beijing\
[J\]. Papers in Regional Science, 2014, 93(2): 477500第17卷第1期2015年2月资源与产业RESOURCES & INDUSTRIESVol17 No1Feb2015http://wwwresourcesindustriesnetcnzycy@cugbeducn

[1]	侯震梅, 张鹏彦, 周勇. 基于空间收敛视角的新疆区域经济协调发展的演变特征研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2022, 24(3): 53-62.
[2]	朱智洺, 郭伶俐. 灰水足迹测度下长三角地区水质与经济发展关系[J]. 资源与产业, 2021, 23(1): 1-9.
[3]	宋丽丽，白中科.. 煤炭资源型城市生态风险评价及预测:以鄂尔多斯市为例[J]. 资源与产业, 2017, 19(5): 15-22.
[4]	傅晨玲,张小平,张志斌,等.. 黄山市旅游业与低碳城市的耦合关系[J]. 资源与产业, 2017, 19(1): 1-9.
[5]	柯文岚，沙景华，闫晶晶. 基于系统动力学的鄂尔多斯市生态经济系统均衡发展研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2013, 15(5): 19-26.
[6]	沈蕾，胡青江. 欠发达地区的区域经济差异与协调发展研究:以新疆为例[J]. 资源与产业, 2013, 15(4): 31-36.
[7]	王世鹏. 我国区域矿产资源、环境与经济社会协调发展度评价研究——以陕西省为例[J]. 资源与产业, 2010, 12(S1): 125-129.
[8]	安贵鑫, 张在旭, 付峰. 基于SD的石油资源型城市协调发展研究——以东营市为例[J]. 资源与产业, 2010, 12(3): 8-16.
[9]	袁启. 试论土地整理与新农村建设[J]. 资源与产业, 2008, 10(5): 28-31.
[10]	马玉香刘旭玲张军民. 新疆第三产业发展与人口城市化协调发展研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2008, 10(2): 35-39.