资源与产业 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (5): 44-51.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20191008.001

• 非主题来稿选登 • 上一篇    下一篇

草原生态补偿标准对牧民收入的影响研究——以锡林郭勒盟为例

巩 芳,韩 青   

  1. (内蒙古工业大学 经济管理学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051)
  • 收稿日期:2019-03-05 修回日期:2019-09-21 出版日期:2019-10-20 发布日期:2020-01-04
  • 通讯作者: 韩青 602433451@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然基金项目(71764019);内蒙古社科规划重点项目(2017NDA030);内蒙古科技计划项目(20131906)

A CASE STUDY ON XILINGELE MENG: INFLUENCE OF GRASSLAND ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION STANDARD TO HERDSMANS INCOME

GONG Fang, HAN Qing   

  1. (School of Economic Management, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Huhhot 010051, China)
  • Received:2019-03-05 Revised:2019-09-21 Online:2019-10-20 Published:2020-01-04

摘要: 草原是牧民赖以生存的主要生产资源,草原生态补偿政策的实施意味着禁牧、休牧会直接降低牧民的收入水平,牧民的禁牧、休牧意愿直接影响着政策的执行度与生态的恢复程度,而生态补偿标准的高低直接影响着牧民的收入水平及牧民的禁牧、休牧意愿。因此,本文从理论层面分析了草原生态补偿标准对牧民收入的影响机理,在此基础上构建了草原生态补偿标准对牧民收入影响的系统动力学模型,并以锡林郭勒盟为例将进行了实证模拟。本文通过三种不同补偿标准对牧民收入的影响进行情景分析,并对模拟结果进行系统分析,研究结果表明当前内蒙古草原生态补偿标准水平较低,未来牧民增收缓慢且草原生态退化。如果降低补偿标准会出现经济与生态的恶性循环,如果适度提升补偿标准,牧民收入与草原生态均会出现较好地提高,如果过度提升补偿标准,牧民收入会大幅度提高但草原生态会先升后降呈现倒“U”型。所以,草原生态补偿标准的高低变化通过直接和间接两个渠道对牧民收入产生影响,并进一步影响草原生态恢复。

关键词: 草原生态补偿, 牧民收入, 影响机理, 系统动力学, 锡林郭勒盟

Abstract: Herdsmen rely on grassland, execution of grassland ecological compensation policy requires forbidding or pausing livestock farming, which will directly impact herdsman's income. Their desires on forbidding or pausing livestock farming also directly impact execution of policy and ecological restoration. The ecological compensation standard plays a direct part on herdsman's desire and income. This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of grassland ecological compensation standard on herdsman's income at a theoretical level, and establishes a system dynamical model to study Xilingele's case. Three different compensation standards are presented on different scenarios. The result shows a low grassland ecological compensation standard in Inner Mongolia, leading to a slow income increase and ecological retrogradation. Economy and ecology will get worsened if the compensation is decreased, and improve if increased, but herdsman's income will largely increase and grassland ecology will rise then fall at a upsidE-down U shape if the compensation is over increased. Change of grassland ecological compensation standard will directly and indirectly impact herdsman's income and further impact grassland ecological restoration.

Key words: grassland ecological compensation, herdsman's income, influence mechanism, system dynamics, Xiligele Meng

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