资源与产业 ›› 2021, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1): 10-19.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20210104.005

• 非主题来稿选登 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带水资源福利绩效时空演变及空间效应研究

王保乾叶雯倩   

  1. (河海大学 商学院,江苏 南京 211100)
  • 收稿日期:2020-03-21 修回日期:2020-09-30 出版日期:2021-02-20 发布日期:2021-03-13
  • 通讯作者: 叶雯倩 1228048437@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目(17BJY142)

SPATIAL-TEMPORAL EVOLUTION AND SPATIAL EFFECTS OF WATER RESOURCES WELFARE PERFORMANCE IN YANGTZE RIVER ECONOMIC ZONE

WANG Baoqian, YE Wenqian   

  1. (Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China)
  • Received:2020-03-21 Revised:2020-09-30 Online:2021-02-20 Published:2021-03-13

摘要: 基于2008—2017年长江经济带11个省市的面板数据,利用非径向Super\|SBM模型测算各省市水资源福利绩效, 并在此基础上,运用非参数Kernel核密度估计以及标准差椭圆模型研究水资源福利绩效的动态演进过程,采用全局Moran's I 指数和空间面板模型进行空间效应分析,以期为促进长江经济带生态环境修复和生态文明建设提供参考。研究表明,2008—2017年长江经济带水资源福利绩效不断波动并呈小幅上升趋势,其中东部地区最高,西部地区次之,中部地区最低,绩效重心整体往东北方向移动。长江经济带水资源福利绩效存在空间集聚效应和空间溢出效应。技术进步对水资源福利绩效起正向作用,环境规制和城镇化水平对水资源福利绩效起负向作用,产业结构和外商投资水平的影响不显著。因此建议协调区域发展模式,不断进行科技创新;构建区域合作交流机制,扩大正向空间溢出;出台更本土化的政策措施。

关键词: 长江经济带, 水资源福利绩效, Super-SBM模型, 全局Moran's I指数

Abstract: This paper based on panel data of 11 provinces (cities) in Yangtze river economic zone from 2008 to 2017, uses non-diametric Super-SBM model to estimate the water resources welfare performance of provinces (cities) in Yangtze river economic zone, applies non-parametric Kernel core density and standard deviation ellipse model to study the dynamic evolution of water resources welfare performance, and employs overall Morans index and spatial panel model to analyze the spatial effects, in an attempt to provide references in promoting ecological environment restoration and ecological civilization construction in Yangtze river economic zone. Water resources welfare performance of Yangtze river economic zone shows a slowly rising trend from 2008 to 2017, high in eastern region, followed by western, low in central. Its performance center moves to the northeast. Also its welfare performance has a spatial concentrating and overflowing effects. Technical advance promotes water resources welfare performance, but environmental regulations and urbanization level play a negative role. Industrial structure and foreign investment level have little impact. This paper presents suggestions on coordinating regional developing mode, conducting technical innovation, establishing regional cooperation and exchange, expanding positive spatial overflowing and issuing localized policies.

Key words: Yangtze river economic zone, water resources welfare performance, Super-SBM model, overall Moran's index

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