资源与产业 ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (2): 71-79.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20180425.001

• 资源环境 • 上一篇    

太原市绿色转型中生态承载力动态评价与适应性管理对策 

王 耕,董 瑞    

  1. (辽宁师范大学 城市与环境学院,辽宁 大连 116029) 
  • 收稿日期:2018-01-22 修回日期:2018-04-02 出版日期:2018-04-20 发布日期:2018-06-24
  • 通讯作者: 王耕(E-mail: wanggeng@lnnu.edu.cn)
  • 基金资助:
    无 

DYNAMIC EVALUATION AND ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF ECOLOGICAL CARRYING CAPACITY DURING TAIYUAN'S GREEN TRANSFORMATION 

WANG Geng, DONG Rui    

  1. (School of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China) 
  • Received:2018-01-22 Revised:2018-04-02 Online:2018-04-20 Published:2018-06-24
  • Supported by:
     

摘要: 根据城市复合生态系统的动态演变特点,从生态弹性力、支持力、压力、人类潜力4个层面,构建复合生态承载力评价模型及相关指标体系,对太原市2006—2015年生态承载力进行定量评价与分析。结果表明:10年间太原市生态承载力指数由0.35提高到0.63,2012年后逐渐进入较高承载力水平,生态承载力指数的后续上升速度变缓。人均耕地面积减少、人均水资源占有量较少、空气质量下降、科研和环保投入降低等,仍然是制约太原市可持续发展的主要因素。运用复合系统适应性理论,指出太原市在绿色转型中的不确定性,并提出适应性管理对策与建议,为太原市在资源型城市转型过程中提供决策参考。

 

关键词: 复合生态系统;生态承载力;绿色转型;可持续发展;太原市 

Abstract:

This paper, according to the dynamic evolution of urban compound ecological system, establishes an evaluation model and index system of compound ecological carrying capacity from ecological elastic force, supporting force, pressure and human potential, which is used to quantitatively evaluate the ecological carrying capacity of Taiyuan in 2006 to 2015, with result showing that its ecological carrying capacity index rose to 0.63 from 0.35 in the decade, reaching a higher capacity after 2012 at a slow pace in the later stage. A decreasing farmland per capita, less water resource per capita, and descending air quality, and diminishing inputs on research and environmental protection are the major constraints of sustainable development of Taiyuan. This paper applies compound system adaptability theory, and points out the uncertainty during Taiyuan's green transformation, and presents suggestions for adaptability management, offering references for policy makers to take actions during Taiyuan's urban transformation as resources-based city.

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