浙江省金华市金东区碳排放增长的驱动因素分析

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20160615.003

资源与产业 ›› 2016, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (3): 67-72.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20160615.003

浙江省金华市金东区碳排放增长的驱动因素分析

梁亚琴，徐昊意，丁琪锋，等

（浙江久拓科技有限公司，浙江杭州 310000)

出版日期:2016-06-26 发布日期:2016-06-26
基金资助:
浙江省金华市金东区温室气体清单编制项目（15027-EN-330700）

DRIVES OF CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSION GROWTH IN JINDONG DISTRICT,JINHUA CITY, ZHEJIANG PROVINCE

Liang Ya-qin, Xu Hao-yi, Ding Qi-feng, et al

(ZhejingJiutuo Technology Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310000, China)

Online:2016-06-26 Published:2016-06-26

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

文章结合浙江省金华市金东区实际，采用扩展的Kaya等式，构建经济效应、能源强度、行业贡献和碳排放强度4个因子驱动下三产业CO2排放增长的模型。并运用上述构建的模型分析了2010—2014年金东区三产业CO2排放的主要驱动因素。结果显示：1）影响金东区三产业CO2排放的正向驱动因素主要是经济效应，负向因素主要是能源强度和碳排放强度效应，但第二产业除外，国家近年来强烈要求碳减排，但经济发展仍然是〖JP〗我国目前需要强调的；2）金东区CO2排放量增速减缓及出现低谷的主要驱动力是能源强度和行业贡献效应，行业贡献效应尤为突出，尤其是对第三产业，产业结构的调整势必会带来三产的大力发展。

关键词: 金东区, Kaya等式, 行业分解分析, CO2排放

Abstract:

This paper, based on Jindong districts actuality, Jinhua city, Zhejiang province, uses expanded Kaya formula to establish carbon dioxide emission growth model of three industries driven by economic effect, energy intensity, sector contribution and carbon dioxide emission intensity, which is employed to study the leading drives of carbon dioxide emission of Jindong during 2010 to 2014. The results show that positive drive is economic effect, and the negative is energy intensity and carbon dioxide emission intensity with the exception of the secondary industry. Reducing carbon dioxide emission is strongly required, but economic development prevails. Mitgated carbon dioxide emission acceleration and emergence of ebb are mainly driven by energy intensity and sector contribution effect, the latter does the most, especially for the third industry. Adjustment of industrial structure will surely push the development of the three industries.

Key words: Jindong district, Kaya formula, sector decomposition analysis, carbon dioxide emission

中图分类号:

F205

梁亚琴，徐昊意，丁琪锋，等. 浙江省金华市金东区碳排放增长的驱动因素分析[J]. 资源与产业, 2016, 18(3): 67-72.

Liang Ya-qin, Xu Hao-yi, Ding Qi-feng, et al. DRIVES OF CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSION GROWTH IN JINDONG DISTRICT,JINHUA CITY, ZHEJIANG PROVINCE[J]. Resources & Industries, 2016, 18(3): 67-72.

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浙江省金华市金东区碳排放增长的驱动因素分析

DRIVES OF CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSION GROWTH IN JINDONG DISTRICT,JINHUA CITY, ZHEJIANG PROVINCE

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