关键词: 地质勘查业, 发展趋势, 中国

Abstract: Geological exploration as the upper end stream of economy is led in inputs by the downstream demands. Industrial developing stages determine mineral product use intensity, which determines the input intensity of geological exploration. China's industrial structure evolution indicates that China has entered into the middle-post of industrialized stage, mineral product use intensity and geological inputs will be falling into declining period in a long term. Global competitiveness or rapid industrialization in nations on “the belt and road” is the approach to re-energize geological exploration, but can not be foreseen in the near future. Geological talents will be structurally short and generally excessive under China's declining geological exploration sector for a long term.

Key words: geological exploration sector, developing tendency, China