资源与产业 ›› 2022, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (6): 54-63.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20221101.001

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环境规制、绿色创新与产业结构升级——基于省际面板数据的空间杜宾模型分析

韦庆明1,赵欣欣1,冯 馨2,张苗苗1   

  1. 1.河海大学 商学院,江苏 常州 213022;2.西交利物浦大学 国际商学院,江苏 苏州 215123)

  • 收稿日期:2021-11-10 修回日期:2022-04-22 出版日期:2022-12-20 发布日期:2023-02-21
  • 通讯作者: 赵欣欣,硕士研究生,主要从事社会经济统计研究。E-mail:1774163964@qq.com
  • 作者简介:韦庆明,博士、副教授,主要从事社会经济统计研究。E-mail:25298660@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金青年项目(71702044);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJC630167);河海大学中央高校基本科研业务费研究专项项目(B200202038)

ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION, GREEN INNOVATION AND INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE UPGRADING: SPATIAL DUBIN MODEL ANALYSIS BASED ON PROVINCIAL PANEL DATA

WEI Qingming1, ZHAO Xinxin1, FENG Xin2, ZHANG Miaomiao1   

  1. (1.Business School, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China;2.International Business School, Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou 215123, China)

  • Received:2021-11-10 Revised:2022-04-22 Online:2022-12-20 Published:2023-02-21

摘要:

在中国着力实现绿色经济转型和促进产业结构升级的时代背景下,如何兼顾环境规制、绿色创新与产业结构三者之间的关系,以获取环境保护、绿色技术创新、产业结构升级“三重红利”,已成为当今我国学术界研究的重要课题之一。本文基于2003—2019年中国30个省、自治区、直辖市的省级面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型,在3种权重矩阵下比较环境规制、绿色创新对产业结构升级的影响,测算出主要解释变量的直接效应、间接效应、总效应,并对我国东部、中部、西部地区的环境规制和绿色创新是否推动产业结构升级进行了实证检验。研究结果表明:1)整体上环境规制与绿色创新在3种空间权重矩阵下均具有促进产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化的作用,其中环境规制强度在地理距离矩阵下每增加1%,产业结构高级化水平将提高0 065%;绿色创新对产业结构高级化的影响在地理距离矩阵下表现最为显著,影响系数达到0 066。2)从溢出效应来看,环境规制在地理距离矩阵下能够直接促进地区产业结构高级化;绿色创新则通过空间溢出效应倒逼推动地区产业结构高级化。3)在区域异质性方面,环境规制对产业结构高级化的推动作用在西部地区表现最为突出,在东部、中部地区作用并不明显;绿色创新对产业结构高级化的正向驱动作用则呈现出西部大于中部、中部大于东部的发展趋势。我国各地区应努力提升企业的绿色创新能力与城镇化水平,积极推动高污染企业的产业转型,并遵循因地制宜的原则,通过提高环境规制强度,制定和实施地区差异化政策,以避免“污染避难所效应”式的产业转移,这对于促进我国产业结构升级,实现经济高质量绿色发展具有非常重要的现实意义。

关键词:

text-align:left, "> 产业结构升级;环境规制;绿色创新;空间杜宾模型

Abstract:

China is focusing on green economic transformation and industrial structure upgrading, how to pay attention to the relationship among environmental regulation, green innovation and industrial structure, in order to obtain the triple bonus of environmental protection, green technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading, has become one of the important issues in Chinese academic circle nowadays. This paper, based on 2003 to 2019 provincial panel data of China’s 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities, uses spatial Dubin model to compare the impacts of environmental regulation and green innovation on industrial structure upgrading under three weight matrixes, and to measure the direct, indirect and gross effects of the main explanatory variables, and empirically tests whether environmental regulation and green innovation promote industrial structure upgrading in eastern, central and western regions of China. Generally, environmental regulation and green innovation promote rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure under three spatial weight matrixes, increase by 1% of environmental regulation intensity at geographical distance matrix will lead to an increase by 0 065% in upgrading of industrial structure. The influence of green innovation on the upgrading of industrial structure is most significant in the geographical distance matrix, with the influence coefficient reaching 0 066. Viewing from overflowing effect, upgrading of industrial structure can be directly contributed by environmental regulation at geographic distance matrix, and indirectly by green innovation through spatial overflowing effect. In regional heterogeneity, environmental regulation promotes the upgrading of industrial structure most in the western, but little in the central and eastern, green innovation plays a positive role in a developing trend of in western more than central and in central more than eastern. It concludes China shall strive to improve green innovative abilities and urbanization, and promote industrial transformation of high pollution enterprises, increase environmental regulation intensity and make differentiated regional policies to prevent industrial transfer of pollution asylum effect, which is of significance in boosting China’s industrial structure upgrading and reaching a quality and green economic development.

Key words: industrial structure upgrading, environmental regulation, green innovation, spatial Dubin model

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