中国投资匈牙利矿业的汇率风险分析

资源与产业 ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (3): 118-121.

中国投资匈牙利矿业的汇率风险分析

任杰，肖荣阁

（中国地质大学地球科学与资源学院，北京 100083）

收稿日期:2009-03-12 修回日期:2009-05-07 出版日期:2009-07-03 发布日期:2009-06-20
作者简介:任杰(1978— )，女，博士生、工程师，主要从事资源产业经济研究。E-mail:renjie@jnmc.com

RISK ON EXCHANGE RATIO FOR CHINA’S INVESTMENT IN HUNGARY MINING

REN Jie, XIAO Rong-ge

(School of Earth Sciences and Resources, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China)

Received:2009-03-12 Revised:2009-05-07 Online:2009-07-03 Published:2009-06-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在匈牙利进行矿业项目投资时，通常要求投资方使用匈牙利本国货币——福林作为交易和结算工具。然而，匈牙利福林的稳定性和保值性都比较弱，中国企业在进行矿业资源项目投资时面临着巨大的汇率风险。本文从汇率风险和汇率风险分析的含义出发，应用基本因素分析法，对过去和未来一段时间内匈牙利福林的汇率风险进行分析，认为匈牙利福林在未来一段时间内存在较大的汇率风险。结合项目投资实践，本文讨论和提出了应对汇率风险的管理措施，希望对有意在匈牙利进行矿业项目投资的中国企业提供一些借鉴。

关键词: 汇率风险；矿业资源项目；匈牙利福林

Abstract:

When investing in Hungary mining, investors are required to use the local currency Forint as the settlement tool, which, however, is unstable in remain the values, leading to big risk for China’s enterprise when investing in Hungary mining. This paper, based on the exchange ratio risks, applies the basic factor to analyze the exchange ratio risks of Forint, implies a big risk in a future time. Combined with a case of project investment, this paper presents some approaches to the exchange ratio risks of Forint, aiming at provide some reference for China’s investors when mining in Hungary.

Key words:

exchange ratio risk; mining and resources projects; Hungary Forint

中图分类号:

F830.59

任杰肖荣阁. 中国投资匈牙利矿业的汇率风险分析[J]. 资源与产业, 2009, 11(3): 118-121.

REN Jie XIAO Rong-ge. RISK ON EXCHANGE RATIO FOR CHINA’S INVESTMENT IN HUNGARY MINING[J]. Resources & Industries, 2009, 11(3): 118-121.