基于空间收敛视角的新疆区域经济协调发展的演变特征研究

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20220606.001

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 区域协调发展战略是贯彻新时期发展理念的重大战略部署之一，对于维护新疆社会稳定和乡村振兴具有重要的现实意义。论文基于2000—2018年新疆85个县域面板数据，借助广义空间Barro & Sala-i-Martin模型，从经济收敛视角对新疆区域经济协调发展的演变特征进行实证分析。结果表明: 1)南北疆县域经济发展水平差异显著，空间集聚特征明显，县域间的差异是造成新疆总体差异扩大的主要原因；2)县域经济增长呈现条件β收敛性，但收敛速度在减缓，区域协调发展问题突出；3)固定资产投资、人力资本和城镇化水平对县域经济增长收敛产生积极的作用，提高县域固定资产投资、人力资本和城镇化水平是促进地区经济协调发展的重要手段；4)人口增长率和储蓄率水平对县域经济增长有着显著的负向作用，南疆四地州偏高的人口增长率对拉大南北疆间经济差距具有重要影响。据此，提出以下建议：1)着力发展南疆四地州现代农业，提高南疆四地州县域经济发展水平；2)加快新型城镇化建设，提升城镇化质量，发挥城镇化在区域协调发展中的支撑作用；3)优化投资结构，提高投资效率；4)保持南疆四地州适度的人口增长率；5)深化金融供给侧结构性改革，拓展储蓄转化为有效投资渠道。

关键词: 区域协调发展, 经济增长收敛, 空间计量模型, 空间演变

Abstract: Regional coordinated development strategy as one of the key concept for new period is of practical significance to maintain Xinjiang's stable society and to power rural development. This paper uses Xinjiang's 85 countywide 2000 to 2018 panel data to establish a spatial Barro & Sala-i-Martin model, which is applied to study the evolution of Xinjiang's regional economic coordinated development from perspective of spatial convergence. Xinjiang shows a clear economic development variance in the north and south with an outstanding spatial convergence owing to countywide difference. Countywide economic growth displays a conditional β convergence at a low speed, suggesting issues in regional coordinated development. Fixed asset investment, human capital and urbanization level, positively affecting the convergence of countywide economic growth, are the major approaches to promoting regional coordinated economic development. Population growth and deposit saving rate are impactful elements to countywide economic growth, higher population growth rate in southern Xinjiang's four cities plays a key role in enlarging the south-north economic variance. This paper puts forward suggestions on developing southern Xinjiang's four cities' modern agriculture to increase their economic growth, boosting new urbanization construction by raising its quality to support amid regional coordination, optimizing investment structure to increase investment efficiency, maintaining an appropriate population growth rate in southern Xinjiang's four cities and structurally, reforming financial supply side in converting deposits into effective investing channels.

Key words: regional coordinated development, economic growth convergence, spatial accounting model, spatial evolution

中图分类号:

F207

侯震梅, 张鹏彦, 周勇. 基于空间收敛视角的新疆区域经济协调发展的演变特征研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2022, 24(3): 53-62.

HOU Zhenmei, ZHANG Pengyan, ZHOU Yong. EVOLUTION OF XINJIANG'S REGIONAL ECONOMIC COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT FROM PERSPECTIVE OF SPATIAL CONVERGENCE[J]. Resources & Industries, 2022, 24(3): 53-62.

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