资源与产业 ›› 2014, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (6): 104-111.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.2014.06.016

• 资源评价 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于云物元模型的海外矿业投资管理风险评价研究

郑明贵1,*,陈艳红2,程秋亭2   

  1. 1江西理工大学矿业贸易与投资研究中心,江西赣州341000; 2江西理工大学资源与环境工程学院,江西赣州341000
  • 收稿日期:2014-04-21 修回日期:2014-09-22 出版日期:2014-12-20 发布日期:2014-12-20
  • 通讯作者: 郑明贵(E-mail: mgz268@sina.com)
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目(12CGL008);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(12YJA790208);江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目(JJ1221)

RISKS EVALUATION OF OVERSEAS MINING INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT BASED ON CLOUD MATERIAL UNIT

ZHENG Ming gui1,*, CHEN Yan hong2, CHEN Qiu ting2   

  1. 1. Research Center for Mining Trade and Investment, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China; 2. School of Resources and Environment, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
  • Received:2014-04-21 Revised:2014-09-22 Online:2014-12-20 Published:2014-12-20

摘要: 文章主要运用云物元的方法对海外矿业投资管理风险进行评价,该方法能有效地将定性指标转化为定量指标,同时又不失模糊性。首先对海外矿业投资影响因素进行识别,并在此基础上建立了海外矿业投资管理风险评价指标体系;然后构建了云物元模型来对海外矿业投资管理风险进行分析评价;最后以国内A钢铁集团与南非B公司铬矿及铬铁项目为例进行应用。得出:财务风险和外部建设条件风险等级评定为低;跨文化风险、无形资产风险、地质资源风险和开采技术条件风险等级评定为较低;政治法规风险等级评定为一般;该项目总风险等级评定为较低。

关键词: 海外矿业投资, 管理风险, 云模型, 物元分析

Abstract: This paper uses cloud material unit to evaluate the risks in oversea mining investment management, which can convert effectively qualitative index to quantitative one without losing fuzzy. This paper, based on identification of investment factors, sets up risks evaluation index system, and constructs cloud material unit model to evaluate the risks with exemplifying internal A Steel group and South Africa B companys Chrome mine project, concludes that the risks are low in finance and external construction, relatively low in culture cross, intangible assets, geological resources and mining conditions, normal in politics. The general risk is rated to be low for this project.

Key words: overseas mining investment, management risks, cloud model, material unit analysis

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