资源与产业 ›› 2015, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (6): 132-137.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20151126.009

• 资源经济 • 上一篇    

基于偏离-份额分析法的攀枝花市产业结构分析

王睿,罗怀良*,谢传敏,张小娟   

  1. (四川师范大学 地理与资源科学学院,四川 成都 610101)
  • 收稿日期:2015-05-14 修回日期:2015-09-29 出版日期:2015-12-20 发布日期:2015-12-20
  • 基金资助:
    2015年教育部人文社科项目(15XJA790003)

PANZHIHUA’S INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE BASED ON SHIFTSHARE METHOD

WANG Rui, LUO Huai-liang*, XIE Chuang-min, ZHANG Xiao-juan   

  1. (School of Geography and Resource Science, Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu 610101, China)
  • Received:2015-05-14 Revised:2015-09-29 Online:2015-12-20 Published:2015-12-20

摘要: 文章运用偏离-份额分析法,对攀枝花市近10年(2003—2012年),产业增长及结构变化进行分析,并以四川省的同期产业结构值为参照。结果表明:攀枝花市在近10年间,第一产业的产业增长份额和结构〖JP+1〗转移份额最小,对经济的贡献作用最小;第二产业产业结构增长明显,有较强的产业结构优势,对经济的贡献作用大,但其竞争力相对于四川省平均水平较弱;第三产业区域竞争力相对于四川省平均水平较强,有较大的发展潜力。根据分析结果,对未来攀枝花市产业结构与经济发展应采取以下措施:1)第一产业应突出特色农业的发展;2)稳定发展第二产业,提高区域竞争力;3)打造特色旅游,加快发展第三产业。

关键词: 离-份额分析法, 攀枝花市, 产业结构, 区域竞争力

Abstract: This paper uses shiftshare method to analyze Panzhihua’s industrial growth and structural changes during 2003—2012, and compare it with Sichuan’s industrial structure at the same period. The results show that the first industry with less industrial growth and structural shift quota contributes less to economy, the second industry with outstanding industrial structure growth contributes much to economy, but less than Sichuan’s average. The third industry with a stronger regional competitiveness than Sichuan’s average is of great potential. This paper presents suggestions for Panzhihua in its industrial structure and economy to develop featured the first industry on agriculture, steadily develop the second industry to increase regional competitiveness and expedite the third industry on featured tourism.

Key words: shiftshare method, Panzhihua, industrial structure, regional competitiveness