“双碳”背景下钢铁新产线选址的交通支持度评价——以中国宝武为例

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231012.002

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 面向“双碳”发展目标，中国钢铁业需要实施新旧产能置换和集团化战略重组、并进行新产线选址。首先通过技术进步和产业政策分析，明确了钢铁新产线选址取向于既有生产基地、且基地所在城市的交通支持对新产线选址具有重要意义。接着应用DPSIR框架及动态综合评价模型，系统解析了钢铁新产线选址与基地所在城市交通运输体系之间的逻辑关系，进而构建了新产线选址的交通支持度评价体系和评价方法。最后基于中国宝武钢铁集团的案例，开展了实证检验。研究表明： 1）为应对“双碳”目标，钢铁新产线选址需要得到既有生产基地所在城市的有力交通支持； 2）钢铁新产线选址交通支持度的DPSIR框架包括驱动力、压力、状态、影响、响应5个层面，各层面内部及相互之间均体现着既有基地与所在城市交通系统间闭环反馈的系统逻辑关系； 3）对中国宝武部分既有生产基地在2015—2020年期间的实证评价结果，既验证了交通支持度评价指标体系和方法的可行性、亦证明了交通支持度评价DPSIR框架在钢铁新产线选址中的实用性。

关键词:

钢铁新产线选址, 交通支持度, DPSIR模型, 动态综合评价方法, 中国宝武钢铁集团

Abstract:

China ‘s steel industry needs to replace the lagging production lines with advanced ones and to pursue group strategic reorganization when facing China ‘s dual-carbon goals.Technical advances and industrial policies indicate that siting new steel production lines is beneficial to production bases, and the site ‘s traffic supports matter. This paper uses DPSIR framework and dynamic comprehensive evaluation model to systematically analyze the logic relation between new sites and their traffic system, and establishes an evaluation system and method for new site ‘s traffic supports. Experimental tests based on China ‘s Baowu Iron & Steel group show that new sites will need to be strongly supported by the local urban traffics to reach the dual caron goals. DPSIR framework of new sites ‘ traffic supports include five levels such as driving forces, pressures, status, impacts and responses, all marking their loop logics between bases and cities ‘ traffic systems inside and over the levels. Evaluation results regarding China Baowu Iron & Steel group during 2015 to 2020 not only verifies the feasibilities of this evaluation system and method, but also approves the practice of DPSIR framework of traffic supports on siting new steel production lines.

Key words:

siting new steel production lines, traffic supports, DPSIR model; dynamic comprehensive evaluation method, China Baowu Iron &, Steel Group

中图分类号:

F205

张琦, 崔豫, 王秋平.

“双碳”背景下钢铁新产线选址的交通支持度评价——以中国宝武为例 [J]. 资源与产业, 2023, 25(5): 142-152.

ZHANG Qi, CUI Yu, WANG Qiuping.

TRAFFIC SUPPORTS IN SITING NEW STEEL PRODUCTION LINES UNDER CHINA’S DUAL-CARBON GOALS: A CASE STUDY ON CHINA BAOWU IRON & STEEL GROUP [J]. Resources & Industries, 2023, 25(5): 142-152.

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