山西省省际贸易隐含碳排放时空分析及优化策略

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.003

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 省际贸易中的隐含碳排放对地区碳排放总量以及各地区协调发展具有重要影响，是地区制定碳交易方案以及推动“碳达峰”“碳中和”目标时应考虑的因素。文章通过构建多区域投入产出模型的省际贸易隐含碳分析框架，并基于中国2012年、2017年的投入产出数据，对山西省际贸易隐含碳排放量的时空变化进行了分析，并通过碳转移责任分担测算方法计算了山西省在省际贸易隐含碳排放中应当承担的碳排放责任，最后通过结构分析方法研究了山西省际贸易中影响隐含碳排放变化的驱动因素。结果表明：1）2012—2017年，山西省隐含碳排放净调出量增加了1.249万t，山西省隐含碳净调出省份数量从28个下降到25个，隐含碳净调出量较少的省份仍然集中在西北、西南地区；2）结构分解分析结果表示规模效应是导致山西省隐含碳调出和调入量增加的主要因素。根据研究结果提出优化山西省际贸易隐含碳排放政策建议。

关键词: 隐含碳排放, 多区域投入产出, 碳转移, 省际贸易

Abstract:

Hidden carbon emission in cross-provincial trade has vital impacts on regional gross carbon emission and coordinated development, a key factor needed to be considered when planning carbon trade and reaching “carbon peaking” and “carbon neutralization” objectives. This paper uses multiple regional input/output model on hidden carbon in cross-provincial trade and China’s 2012 and 2017 input/output data to study the temporal-spatial changes of hidden carbon emission of Shanxi cross-provincial trade, and employes carbon-transferring-responsibility-sharing to estimate Shanxi’s responsibilities in hidden carbon emission amid its cross-provincial trade, and applies structural method to analyze the factors impacting hidden carbon emission changes in Shanxi’s cross-provincial trade. Shanxi’s net-transferred-in hidden carbon emission has increased by 12.490 kt during 2012 to 2017, while its net-transferred-in provinces numbers dropped to 25 from 28. Those having less net-transferred-out are concentrating in northwestern and southwestern China. Structural analysis suggests scaling effect be the leading factor increasing transferred-in and -out of Shanxi’s hidden carbon emission. This paper presents suggestions on optimizing Shanxi’s hidden carbon emission policies of its cross-provincial trade.

Key words: hidden carbon emission, multiple regional input/out, carbon transfer, cross-provincial trade

中图分类号:

F205

梁荆花. 山西省省际贸易隐含碳排放时空分析及优化策略[J]. 资源与产业, 2024, 26(1): 173-181.

LIANG Jinghua. TEMPORAL-SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION STRATEGIES OF HIDDEN CARBON EMISSION OF SHANXI CROSS-PROVINCIAL TRADE[J]. Resources & Industries, 2024, 26(1): 173-181.

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