我国现代煤化工产业清洁高效利用战略研究

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240510.002

资源与产业 ›› 2024, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 6-20.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240510.002

我国现代煤化工产业清洁高效利用战略研究

聂超飞^1,4，陈文会^2,4，彭世垚¹，邵振权³，李其抚¹，刘志晓³，雷涯邻^3,4，赵君^2,4

（1.国家管网集团科学技术研究总院分公司，河北廊坊 065000；2.北京化工大学经济管理学院，北京 100029；3.中国地质大学(北京) 经济管理学院，北京 100083；4.北化中国工业碳中和研究院，北京 100029）

收稿日期:2023-10-30 修回日期:2024-01-15 出版日期:2024-06-20 发布日期:2024-06-20
通讯作者: 陈文会，博士、讲师，主要从事碳捕集、利用与封存技术经济分析及发展应用政策机制研究。E-mail：chenwenhui@buct.edu.cn
作者简介:聂超飞，硕士、高级工程师，主要从事油气储运工艺和新能源管道输送的战略及技术研究。E-mail：niecf@pipechina.com.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（72104116）；教育部人文社科基金项目（21YJC630009）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金（ZY2339）；国家石油天然气管网集团公司重大科技项目（SSCC202107）。

STRATEGY OF CLEAN AND EFFICIENT USE OF CHINA'S MODERN COAL CHEMICAL INDUSTRY

NIE Chaofei^1,4, CHEN Wenhui^2,4, PENG Shiyao¹, SHAO Zhenquan³, LI Qifu¹, LIU Zhixiao³, LEI Yalin^3,4, ZHAO Jun^2,4

(1.PipeChina Institute of Science and Technology, Langfang 065000, China; 2.School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China; 3.School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; 4.BUCT Institute for Carbonneutrality of Chinese Industries, Beijing 100029, China)

Received:2023-10-30 Revised:2024-01-15 Online:2024-06-20 Published:2024-06-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 碳捕集、利用与封存（CCUS）技术的集群化部署是推动现代煤化工产业实现清洁高效利用的重要引擎。为了解决我国现代煤化工产业碳排放强度大、碳减排成本高等问题，本文在收集整理我国现代煤化工产业已投产及在建、拟建项目的产量或产能数据的基础上，通过运用二氧化碳捕集潜力计算模型，以及构建的现代煤化工CCUS项目源汇匹配模型，分别研究了我国现代煤化工项目的分布情况、碳排放量情况、CCUS项目的二氧化碳捕集潜力、CCUS项目的源汇匹配情况，以及CCUS项目的全流程成本。研究结果表明：1）当今，我国现代煤化工产业已形成了以“三西（蒙西、陕西、山西）+宁夏”为核心，以新疆、青海2省（自治区）为补充，以东部沿海省份为外延的现代煤化工产业格局。2）在考虑了在建和拟建的现代煤化工项目后，我国现代煤化工产业的碳排放量呈现出了显著上升的趋势。截至2020年，我国在建的现代煤化工项目的二氧化碳年排放量预计为26 388万t，拟建的现代煤化工项目的二氧化碳年排放量预计为64 479万t。3）截至2020年，我国现代煤化工CCUS项目对二氧化碳的年捕集潜力为55 622万t，其中内蒙古、陕西、新疆、山西是我国现代煤化工CCUS项目碳捕集潜力最大的省份（自治区），二氧化碳年捕集潜力分别为14 873万t、9 988万t、8 088万t、4 000万t。4）在兼顾了二氧化碳捕集规模与管道运输经济性的省份（自治区）之中，内蒙古及陕西与鄂尔多斯盆地、山东与渤海湾盆地、新疆与鄂尔多斯盆地及准噶尔盆地、江苏及浙江与苏北盆地分别形成了良好的源汇匹配关系。5）从CCUS全流程成本和碳捕集潜力及源汇匹配关系的角度来看，陕西、山东、江苏、浙江4省是适合优先运用现代煤化工CCUS技术的省份。

关键词: 现代煤化工产业, 二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存, 源汇匹配模型, 捕集潜力

Abstract: Abstract: Grouping of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) is a key path to clean and efficient use of modern coal chemical industry.China's current coal chemical industry has problems in increasing carbon emission intensity and high carbon reducing costs.This paper，based on the current status of China's modern coal chemical industry in production or producing capacity from producing， developing and planning projects，uses carbon dioxide capturing potential model and CCUS sourcing & sinking matching model to study the distribution，carbon emission，and carbon dioxide capturing potential，sourcing and sinking,and entireprocess costs of CCUS projects.China's modern coal chemical industry has formed in a layout of west Inner Mongolia，Shaanxi，Shanxi and Ningxia as the center，Xinjiang and Qinghai as the supplement，and east coast as the extension.Carbon emission of China's modern coal chemical industry shows a directly rising trend if considering the developing and planning projects，up to 263.88 million tons by 2020 from the developing projects， and up to 644.79 million tons from the planning projects.By 2020，carbon dioxide capturing potential of CCUS projects is up to 556.22 million tons annually，of which Inner Mongolia，Shaanxi，Xinjiang and Shanxi seat on the top，up to 148.73，99.88, 80.88 and 40.00 million tons respectively.On the basis of carbon dioxide capturing scales and pipe transporting economy，sourcing and sinking match is found well in Inner Mongolia & Shaanxi to Ordos basin, Shandong to Bohai bay basin, Xinjiang to Ordos and Junggar basin, Jiangsu & Zhejiang to Subei basin.Shaaxi, Shangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are suitable for prioritizing the use of modern coal chemical industry CCUS technology from the entire process costs, carbon capturing potentials and sourcing & sinking match.

Key words: modern coal chemical industry, CCUS, sourcing and sinking match model, capturing potential

中图分类号:

F426.7

聂超飞, 陈文会, 彭世垚, 等. 我国现代煤化工产业清洁高效利用战略研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2024, 26(3): 6-20.

NIE Chaofei, CHEN Wenhui, PENG Shiyao, et al.. STRATEGY OF CLEAN AND EFFICIENT USE OF CHINA'S MODERN COAL CHEMICAL INDUSTRY[J]. Resources & Industries, 2024, 26(3): 6-20.

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我国现代煤化工产业清洁高效利用战略研究

STRATEGY OF CLEAN AND EFFICIENT USE OF CHINA'S MODERN COAL CHEMICAL INDUSTRY

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