资源与产业 ›› 2011, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (6): 128-134.

• 资源经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国区域CO2排放收敛的空间计量分析

 陈青青, 龙志和   

  1. 华南理工大学   经济与贸易学院,广东   广州    510006
  • 收稿日期:2010-12-17 修回日期:2011-09-21 出版日期:2011-12-20 发布日期:2011-12-21
  • 作者简介:陈青青(1984— ),男,博士生,主要从事空间计量经济学和碳排放研究。E-mail:qingqing840322@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(71071060)。

SPATIAL QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS ON CHINA’S REGIONALCARBON DIOXIDE EMISSION CONVERGENCE

CHEN  Qing-qing, LONG  Zhi-he   

  1. School of Economics and Commerce, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China
  • Received:2010-12-17 Revised:2011-09-21 Online:2011-12-20 Published:2011-12-21

摘要:

中国区域CO2排放的增长趋势是学术界关注的焦点,本文精确测算了我国30个省份1997—2007年的CO2排放量,并在此基础上,采用空间经济计量方法,研究我国区域CO2排放量的β收敛情况。通过对11年数据分时段进行研究,结果表明,1997—2007年间,我国区域CO2排放不存在绝对收敛,但是控制经济增长速度和保持能源消费结构之后,存在着条件收敛,收敛速度为1.04%。分时段来看:1997—2002年间,我国区域间CO2排放存在着显著的空间相关性,区域CO2排放存在绝对收敛和条件收敛,收敛速度分别为2.49%和1.74%;2002—2007年间,我国区域CO2排放不存在空间相关性,也不存在绝对收敛和条件收敛。此外,经济增长速度和煤炭消费比重影响CO2排放量,保持经济持续稳定增长,优化能源消费结构,是控制我国CO2排放的有效途径。

关键词: &beta, 收敛;CO2排放;空间计量模型;区域收敛

Abstract:

A rise in China’s regional carbon dioxide emission becomes a focus. This paper calculates the quantities of carbon dioxide emission in 30 provinces from 1997 to 2007, and applies a spatial economic measure to study the β convergence of China’s regional carbon dioxide emission. Revealed by the 11-year’s data, there is no absolute convergence, but conditional converse at a speed of 1.04% after controlling economic growing speed and remaining energy consuming structures. Temporally, a notable spatial relativity happened during 1997 to 2002, and absolute and conditional convergence also existed at a speed of 2.49% and 1.74%, respectively. During 2002 to 2007, there is no spatial relativity and no absolute and conditional convergence. Furthermore, economic growth speed and coal consumption ratio have an impact on carbon dioxide emission. It is a workable means to keep a stable economic growth and to optimize the energy consumption structures.

Key words: &beta, convergence, carbon dioxide emission, spatial quantitative model, regional convergence

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