[1] Lour G C. Optimal exploitation of an unknown reverse[J]. Review of Economic Studies, 1978, 45(141): 621-636
[2] Gibert R T. Optimal depletion of an uncertain stock[J]. Review of Economic Studies, 1979, 46(142): 47-57
[3] Pindyck R S. Uncertainty and exhaustible resource markets[J]. Journal of Political Economy,1980, 88(6): 1203-1225
[4] Deshmukh S D, Pliska S R. Optimal consumption of a nonrenewable resource with stochastic discoveries and a random environment[J]. Review of Economic Studies, 1983, 50(3): 543-554
[5] Brennan M J, Schwartz E S. Evaluating natural resource investment[J]. Journal of Business, 1985, 58(2): 135-157
[6] Epaulard A, Pommeret A. Optimally eating a stochastic cake[J]. Resource and Energy Economics, 2003, 25(2): 129-139
[7] Kumar R C. How to eat a cake of unknown size: a reconsideration[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2005, 50(2): 408-421
[8] Dasgupta P, Stiglitz J. Resource depletion under technological uncertainty[J]. Econometrica, 1981, 49(1): 85-104
[9] Just R E, Netanyahu S, Olson L J. Depletion of natural resources, technological uncertainty, and the adoption of technological substitutes[J]. Resource and Energy Economics, 2005, 27(2): 91-108
[10]Kemp M C, Van Long N. Extracting resource deposits of unknown size: optimal order[J]. German Economic Review, 2009, 10(4): 401-421
[11]Sonia Y, Rubin E S. A review of uncertainties in technology experience curves[J]. Energy Economics, 2012, 34(3): 762-771
[12]吴巧生, 成金华. 中国能源消耗强度变动及因素分解: 1980-2004[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2006(10): 34-40
[13]齐志新, 陈文颖. 结构调整还是技术进步？改革开放后我国能源效率提高的因素分析[J]. 上海经济研究, 2006(6): 8-16
[14]王喜莲, 张金锁. 技术进步对煤炭产业经济增长的贡献率研究[J]. 矿业研究与开发, 2009, 29(1): 92-96
[15]JimenezRodriguez R, Sanchez M. Oil Price Shocks and real GDP growth: empirical evidence for some OECD countries[J]. Applied Economics, 2005, 37(2): 201-228
[16]Cunado J, de Gracia F P. Oil Prices, Economic activity and inflation: evidence for some Asian countries[J]. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2005, 45(1): 65-83
[17] Lutz K. The Effects of exogenous oil supply shocks on output and inflation: evidence from the G7 countries[EB/OL]. [2013-02-11].http://wwwpersonal.umich.edu/~lkilian/oilznov 20-05.pdf
[18] Ghoshray A, Johnson B. Trends in world energy prices[J]. Energy Economics, 2010, 32(5): 1147-1156
[19]邹绍辉, 张金锁. 我国煤炭价格变动模型实证研究[J]. 煤炭学报, 2010, 35(3): 525-528
[20]Hartwick J M, Sadorsky P A. Duopoly in exhaustible resource exploration and extraction[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics, 1990, 23(2): 276-293
[21]Rotheli, T F, Expectations about change in market structure and natural resource extraction[J]. Journal of Economics, 1995, 62(2): 203-214
[22]Fischer C, Laxminarayan R. Monopoly extraction of an exhaustible resource with two markets[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics, 2004, 37(1): 178-188
[23] Fisher Vanden K. The effect of market reforms on structural change: implications for energy use and carbon emissions in China[J]. The Energy Journal, 2003, 24(3): 27-62
[24]Fisher Vandena K, Jefferson G H, Liu Hongmei, et al. What is driving China’s decline in energy intensity?[J]. Resource and Energy Economics, 2004, 26(1): 77-97
[25] Kesicki F. The Third oil price surge: What’s different this time? [J]. Energy Policy, 2010, 38(3): 1596-1606
[26]Fan Ying, Xu Jinhua. What has driven oil prices since 2000? A structural change perspective [J]. Energy Economics, 2011, 33(6): 1082-1094
[27]Grubb M, Kler J, Anderson D. Induced technical change in energy and environmental modeling: analytic approaches and policy implications[J]. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 2002(27): 271-308
[28]Marketos T N. Chinas energy geopolitics: the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and Central Asia[M]. New York: Routledge, 2009
[29]白永平. 油气地缘经济与中国油气安全[J]. 人文地理, 1999, 14(4): 1-5
[30]韩立华. 国际能源地缘战略格局与上合组织能源一体化[J]. 国际经济合作, 2007(1): 40-44
[31]任娜, 孙暖. 地缘政治视角下的能源安全: 以美国全球能源安全战略为例[J]. 世界经济与政治论坛, 2007(2): 84-89
[32]Hotelling H. The economics of exhaustible resources[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1931, 39(2): 137-175
[33]Camponia V, Mendelsohn R. The taxation of exhaustible resources[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100(1): 165-181
[34]Lee D R, Orr D. The private discount rate and resource conservation[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics, 1975, 8(3): 351-363
[35]Farzin Y H. The effect of the discount rate on depletion of exhaustible resource[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1984, 92(5): 841-851
[36]史丹. 中国能源政策回顾与未来的政策取向[J]. 经济研究参考, 2000 (20): 20-26
[37]葛世龙, 周德群. 可耗竭资源开采中的资源税征收预期影响研究[J]. 系统工程学报, 2009, 24(2): 212-217
[38]李小雪, 廖玫. 战略性贸易政策应用于中国石油进口政策的实证研究[J]. 消费导刊, 2009(4): 26-28
[39]邹绍辉, 张金锁. 煤炭资源开发税费政策改革方向研究[J]. 中国矿业, 2009, 18(8): 17-21
[40]Christensen L R, Jorgensen D W, Lau L J. Transcendental logarithmic production frontiers[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1973, 55(4): 28-45
[41]Jorgenson D W. Taxation and technical change[J]. Technology in Society, 1981, 3(1): 151- 171
[42]Pindyck R. The optimal exploration and production of Nonrenewable Resources[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1978, 86(5): 841-862
[43]Weber C, Perrels A. Modeling lifestyle effects on energy demand and related emissions[J]. Energy Policy, 2000, 28(8): 549-566
[44]Edison T R. A portfolio approach to energy planning[J]. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 2003(15): 76-92
[45]Mohammed M. The future prospect of world oil supply: depletion of resources or price trends[J]. OPEC Review, 2007, 31(1): 27-51
[46]Hossein A, Noureddine K. An oil demand and supply model incorporating monetary policy[J]. Energy, 2010, 35(5): 2013-2021
[47]魏一鸣, 廖华, 范英. “十一五”期间我国能源需求及节能潜力预测[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2007, 22, (1): 20-25
[48]徐铭辰, 岑况, 李建武, 等. 基于倒“U”形规律的中国未来10年能源需求预测[J]. 资源与产业, 2011, 13(5): 10-15
[49]范德成, 王韶华, 张伟. 低碳经济目标下一次能源消费结构影响因素及其影响机理研究[J]. 资源科学, 2012, 34（4）: 696-703
[50]陶阳威, 孙梅, 王小芳. 基于改进的 BP 神经网络的中国能源需求预测研究[J]. 山西财经大学学报, 2010, 32(2): 3-5
[51]陈洪涛, 周德群. 基于GM(1, 1)模型的中国能源消费预测研究[J]. 矿业研究与开发, 2007, 27(3): 77-79
[52]Schulze W D. The optimal use of nonrenewable resources: the theory of extraction[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1974, 1(1): 53-73
[53]Partha D, Joseph S. Resource depletion under technological uncertainty[J]. Econometrica, 1981, 49(1): 85-104
[54]赵国浩, 赵淑芳. 可持续发展系统结构浅析[C]//中国系统工程学会. 系统工程、系统科学与复杂性研究论文集. 北京：知识产权出版社, 2000
[55]张金锁. 待估矿产资源资产剩余开采期的确定方法研究[J]. 煤炭学报, 2000, 25(4): 443-447
[56]张金锁. 矿物资源资产案例估价方法研究[J]. 西安科技学院学报, 2002, 22(4): 477-481
[57]张金锁, 王喜莲. 煤炭开采规模的影响因素及模型研究[J]. 能源技术与管理, 2007(5): 68-71
[58]戴家权, 王勇, 冯恩民. 油气资源勘探与开发的不确定性分析及最优策略[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2004(1): 35-40
[59]杨海生, 周永章, 杨小强, 等. 不确定条件下矿产资源的最优开采[J]. 资源开发与市场. 2005, 21(5): 398-401
[60]葛世龙, 周德群, 周明. 后备技术不确定下资源耗竭动态优化模型研究[J]. 管理科学学报, 2010, 13(4): 23-28
[61]孙大超, 魏晓平. 新能源成本不确定下能源最优开采研究[J]. 技术经济与管理研究, 2010(6): 23-26
[62]Dannreuther R. Asian security and Chinas energy needs[J]. Int Relat Asia Pac, 2003, 3(2): 197-219
[63]Lakovou E, Douligeris C, Li Huan, et al. A maritime global route planning model for hazardous materials transportation[J]. Transportation Science, 1999, 33(1): 34-48
[64]Pourvakshouri S Z. Management of oil spills in Malaysia marine environment through a decision support system[J]. Bridges Across the OceansConference Proceedings, 2004, 3: 1482-1485
[65]Cheng Lifei, Duran M A. Logistics for worldwide crude oil transportation using discrete event simulation and optimal corridor[J]. Computers and Chemical Engineering, 2004, 12(28): 897-911
[66]聂礼仁. 我国原油运输市场的现状及对策[J]. 武汉船舶职业技术学院学报, 2006 (4): 70-73
[67]杨晓龙, 刘希宋. 我国石油进口风险分析及对策[J]. 技术经济, 2005(8): 34-37
[68]白建华, 胡国松. 我国石油进口风险的评估指标研究[J]. 国土资源科技管理, 2005(2): 46-50
[69]徐舜华, 岳小文. 国外石油海运发展及其对我国的启示[J]. 国际石油经济, 2007(9): 15-19
[70]丁春香, 张宾宾. 对我国石油海运安全的思考[J]. 中国石油企业, 2008(11): 56-57
[71]姜大庆, 王志平, 韩京伟. 中国海上石油运输通道安全的思考[C]//中国交通教育研究会. 2008’危险品运输国际论坛论文集, 济南, 2008: 28-31
[72]王丽楠. 中国石油进口三个主要来源地的风险比较[D]. 北京: 中国人民大学, 2008
[73]张抗. 2000年以来中国原油进口来源构成分析[J]. 当代石油石化, 2009, 17(6): 17-23
[74]魏一鸣, 周少平. 国外油气与矿产资源利用风险评价与决策支持技术[M]. 北京: 地质出版社, 2010
[75]Murphy F H, Toman M A. A dynamic nash game model of oil market disruption and strategic stockpiling[J]. Operations Research, 1989, 37(6): 958-971
[76]吴光伟, 程俐骢, 王松华. 能源储备: 解决城市发展瓶颈的一项对策[J]. 城市规划汇刊, 2004(4): 31-34
[77]朱熹洋. 政府能源储备的公法初探[J]. 行政法学研究, 2007(1): 53-60
[78]秦静, 何英. 我国能源储备法律制度体系研究[J]. 时代经贸(中旬刊), 2007(1): 1-4
[79]廖建凯. 我国能源储备与应急法律制度及其完善[J]. 西部法学评论, 2010(2): 111-115
[80]魏一鸣, 焦建玲, 梁强, 等. 油价长期高位对我国社会经济的影响与对策[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2008, 23(1): 11-15
[81]刘柏林, 黄石松. 复杂国际能源形势下的中国石油能源储备策略[J]. 管理现代化, 2010(6): 6-9