Abstract: The Yangtze River Economic Belt, as one of China‘s vital agricultural producing bases, impacts the performances of China’s “dual carbon” strategy by its low carbon agricultural development.To study the developing status and issues of low carbon agriculture in China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt so as to provide references for China‘s low carbon agriculture, this paper establishes an evaluation system index and uses entropy method to estimate its low carbon agricultural development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and applies fixed effect model to reveal the influencing factors.Low carbon agricultural development level in the Yangtze River Economic Belt shows a fluctuating rising trend from 2012 to 2021, with continuously climbing carbon index gaining a highest score among three tier 1 indicators, suggesting a good control over carbon emission from agriculture.The Yangtze River Economic Belt has gained a relatively low output index from 2012 to 2021, still in rising trend, meaning a growing agricultural producing efficiency and outputs.Its energy index gained a declining trend from 2012 to 2021, indicating that fossil energy consumption has been rising, renewable energy has been used less, leading to a negative impact on low carbon agricultural development.Among all factors impacting low carbon agricultural development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, economic development, planting productive structure, scientific and technological innovation input, agricultural producing efficiency and urbanization play a positive role, but agricultural staffing amount plays negatively.

Key words: Yangtze River Economic Belt, low carbon agriculture, evaluation index system, entropy method, benchmark regression analysis

摘要： 长江经济带作为我国重要的农业生产基地之一，其低碳农业发展水平关系到我国“双碳”战略目标的实施成效。为了展示当前我国长江经济带低碳农业发展的现状并揭示其存在的问题，从而能够为促进我国区域农业低碳化发展提供科学的理论依据，因而本文决定以长江经济带低碳农业发展水平为研究对象，通过构建该区域低碳农业发展水平评价指标体系，运用熵值法来测算长江经济带的低碳农业发展水平，并使用固定效应模型以深入研究影响该区域低碳农业发展的各项因素。研究结果表明：1）2012—2021年长江经济带的低碳农业发展水平呈现出了波动上升的发展趋势，在其3项一级评价指标中以碳水平指标的得分为最高，且呈现出了持续上升的变化态势，表明长江经济带由农业产生的碳排放得到了较好地控制。2）2012—2021年虽然长江经济带的产出指标得分相对较低，但也始终保持了持续上升的发展趋势，表明该区域的农业产出效率及农业产出水平均得到了不断提高。3）2012—2021年长江经济带的能源指标得分呈现出了波动下降的发展趋势，表明该区域以化石能源为主的能源消耗在不断增加，而对可循环、可再生绿色能源的使用相对较少，从而对该区域的低碳农业发展水平产生了负向影响作用。4）在影响长江经济带低碳农业发展水平的各项因素之中，经济发展水平、种植业生产结构、科技创新投入、农业生产效率、城镇化水平均对低碳农业发展水平发挥出了正向促进作用，而农业从业人员数量则对低碳农业发展水平发挥出了负向抑制作用。

关键词: 长江经济带, 低碳农业, 评价指标体系, 熵值法, 基准回归分析