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    NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF GREEN FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ON CARBON EMISSION FROM PERSPECTIVE OF FINANCIAL ECO-ENVIRONMENT

    PAN Haiying, ZHANG Chen, YAN Xiang
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 15-30.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230726.002
    Abstract127)      PDF(pc) (1323KB)(355)       Save
    In order to study if a good financial eco-environment as green financial function in carbon emission reduction, this paper uses financial eco-environment and China ‘s 2008 to 2020 provincial panel data to establish a panel threshold model to test its non-linear effect of green financial development on carbon emission. Results show that green financial development can largely depress carbon emission if no externally environmental constraints, bearing phasing features. At its rapid developing stage, green finance plays a better role. Limited by financial eco-environment, dual threshold effect exists in its impacts, it can not fulfill its functions in depressing carbon emission if under the first threshold value, but increasing if above the two threshold values. As economy, finance and governance levels are over the threshold values, green finance development displays a marginal rising role in depressing carbon emission. An abnormal “central collapsing” happens in carbon emission reduction of green financial development at regime and credit cultures. Geographically, financial eco-environment has a sole threshold effect between green financial development and carbon emission in the eastern and central-western. The eastern has an increasing function while the central-western only starts to emerge as financial eco-environmental level over the threshold values. This paper presents theoretical references for fulfilling carbon emission reduction of green finance from financial eco-environmental construction and for reaching dual carbon goal.
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    CARBON EMISSION REDUCTION EFFECTS OF DIGITAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WITH ADJUSTMENT OF HETEROGENEOUS ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION

    PAN Haiying, CHEN Ling, REN Jiajia
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 1-14.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230724.001
    Abstract113)      PDF(pc) (1358KB)(213)       Save
    As global warming is accelerating, China presents “dual carbon” goal as an attempt to transform China ‘s economic development way, which may be powered by digital economy. This paper uses China ‘s 2011 to 2019 provincial panel data to establish a spatial counting model used to study the carbon emission reduction of digital economy and adjustment of heterogeneous environmental regulations. Digital economy strongly depresses carbon emission intensity under 3 types of spatial weight matrix, and casts a negative spatial overflowing due to its diffusion and radiation, constraining the carbon emission in the surrounding areas. Mandatory environmental regulations play an adverse role on its carbon emission reduction of digital economy, while market-stimulating and public-participating environmental regulations work positively. A panel threshold model is established based on digital economic development level and economic growth level as threshold variables to study the threshold effect of digital economy on carbon emission. Digital economy has a dual threshold effect based on its level and sole threshold effect based on economic growth on carbon emission intensity, and can effectively fulfill carbon reduction over threshold values. This paper puts forward suggestions on combining traditional industries with digital technologies to develop economy, applying flexible combined environmental regulations to lead a green development for industries, speeding up construction of green data center, increasing its operating efficiency, appropriately allocating digital economic resources to reach a quality economic development.
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    MEASUREMENT AND TEMPORAL-SPATIAL DIFFERENTIATION OF BEIJING-TIANJIN-HEBEI (JJJ) CITY CLUSTER’S QUALITY DEVELOPMENT
    KE Wenlan, LI Wenhui, YAN Jingjing
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 1-14.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240016.003
    Abstract101)      PDF(pc) (8058KB)(304)       Save
    China is entering a new era with its economy turning to quality development from rapid growth. JJJ, as a new capital economic zone, plays a key role in demonstrating city cluster’s quality development. This paper, aiming at JJJ’s coalition in developing strategy for a quality city cluster’s quality development, this paper, based on JJJ"s 13 perfectures’ 2011 to 2020 data, uses the contents of quality development to establish a comprehensive evaluation index system for JJJ city cluster’s quality development, and employs entropy-TOPSIS model to estimate JJJ city cluster’s 2011 to 2020 quality developing index, and applies coupling coordination model & spatial autocorrelation model to study its coupling coordinating level, temporal-spatial evolutionary trend and spatial concentrating effect.The coupling coordination of JJJ city cluster’s quality development shows a weak-then-strong trend, with major cities in coordination in 2011 to 2015 changing to developing cities, at a decreasing coupling coordination, but rising after 2015. The coupling has been steadily rising, 84% of JJJ’s cities are rising in their coupling, most with strong correlation among economy, eco-environment, innovation, and civilian welfare. Temporal-spatial pattern of coordination has not changed, Cangzhou, Tianjin, Tangshan and Qinhuangdao have always been at the tier 2 except Beijing seats atop. Spatial evolutionary pattern of quality development suggests Beijing, Tianjin and Langfang are in the core area of city cluster’s quality development, radiating outward to southeast, falling toward northeast. Economy, eco-environment innovation and civilian welfare are the same. JJJ’s city cluster’s quality development has a positive overall auto-correlation, cities of high quality development are geographically closer, with outstanding spatial heterogeneity, their capitals are mainly located in the promoting area, Cangzhou, Hengshui and Qinhuangdao in the transition zone, and Langfang in the radiation zone, negatively correlated. A key mission for JJJ’s city cluster’s quality development is to make up the regional developing gap. This paper presents suggestions on accelerating industrial transformation to diminish regional gap, intensifying environmental cooperation to promote green development, activating regional resources to drive innovation, and jointly constructing public services to share the dividends.
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    ALUMINUM RESOURCE DEMAND IN NEXT DECADE UNDER NEW INDUSTRIAL SITUATION 

    CUI Bojing, CHEN Qishen, WANG Kun, et al
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 31-40.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230913.001
    Abstract95)      PDF(pc) (3975KB)(173)       Save

    Rapid growth of new low carbon industries like of new electric vehicles and photovoltaic recently leads to a surging demand for aluminum resource, but production of primary aluminum has high energy consumption and large carbon emission, challenging the global climate changes and dual carbon goal. This paper uses system dynamics simulation model to forecast China ‘s aluminum resource production/consumption in next decade, and quantitatively evaluates its carbon emission potential under normal, policy and ideal scenarios from a perspective of entire life circle bauxite-aluminum oxide-primary aluminum-aluminum products-recycling aluminum, and forecasts the future supply of primary and recycling aluminum. In next decade, aluminum demand will be still fast rising, mainly contributed by the growing new energy vehicles. Transportation will become the largest aluminum consuming sector over construction sector. The premium approach to aluminum carbon reduction is to develop recycling aluminum resource, then to optimize electricity-using structure in electrolytic aluminum.To face a challenging global economic situation, this paper presents suggestions on developing power-saving-environment-protecting primary and recycling metallurgical technologies and methods, increasing development/use and recycling levels of aluminum resource, constructing an effective aluminum resource recycling system, decreasing uncertainty in aluminum resource supply so as to secure China ‘s aluminum resource guaranteeing capacity and to boost a quality development of China ‘s aluminum industry.

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    HEILONGJIANG’S INDUSTRIAL CARBON EMISSION SCENARIOS AND PEAKING PREDICTION BASED ON STIRPAT MODEL
    HE Letian, YANG Yongqi, LI Rong, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 162-172.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231212.003
    Abstract90)      PDF(pc) (1369KB)(88)       Save

    Study on carbon emission factors and scenario prediction of Heilongjiang’s industrial sectors is of significance to reach Heilongjiang’s green low-carbon development under the background of carbon peaking and carbon neutralization. This paper uses IPCC to estimate Heilongjiang’s historical industrial carbon emission, and applies extended STIRPAT model to determine the six variables from population, economy and technology, square of GDP per capita, population scale, gross industrial production, industrial energy consumption, energy consuming efficiency and energy structure, and employes ridge regression to establish a carbon emission factor model by removing the multi-collinearity of independent variables. This paper also studies Heilongjiang’s social and economic reality from economic development, population scale, energy consumption and energy consumption efficiency, and determines the increment of independent variables combined with macroscopic policies, and predicts its 2020 to 2050 Heilongjiang’s appropriate industrial carbon emission under three scenarios, benchmark, low-carbon and highly-energy-consuming. Heilongjiang’s industrial low-carbon development is facing a huge demand for fossil energy and insufficient energy conversion efficient. Among the six factors impacting industrial carbon emission, square of GDP per capita, gross industrial production, industrial energy consumption and energy structure promote its industrial carbon emission, of which industrial energy consumption works the most, while population scale and energy consuming efficiency play on the contrast. Heilongjiang’s industrial carbon emission shows an increasing-then-decreasing evolutionary trend under the all three scenarios, varying in peaking time and heights, 71.35 millions tons in 2030 under the low-carbon scenario, 89.97 millions tons in 2035 under the benchmark scenario, and 123.68 millions tons in 2045 under the highly-energy-consuming scenario. This paper presents suggestions on largely adjusting industrial energy use structure, focusing on energy technical conversion and upgrade, and perfecting low-carbon green policies.

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    IMPACTS OF NEW ENERGY VEHICLE INDUSTRIAL AGGLOMERATION ON REGIONAL GREEN ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY BASED ON A CASE STUDY ON YANGTZE RIVER ECONOMIC ZONE
    YANG Kaijun, CAO Anqi, FANG Cihui
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 35-49.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231213.002
    Abstract73)      PDF(pc) (1371KB)(126)       Save

    This paper incorporates industrial agglomeration, green technical innovation and green economic efficiency to study the impact of new energy vehicle industrial agglomeration on green economic efficiency in Yangtze River economic zone, aiming at offering references for China to reach strategic objectives of manufacturing power and to develop new energy vehicles in Yangtze River economic zone under the dual-carbon settings. This paper, based on 11 provinces/cities’ 2012 to 2020 panel data along Yangtze River economic zone, uses super-efficiency SBM and locality entropy to establish a measuring model, which is employed to study impacts of new energy vehicle industrial agglomeration on green economic efficiency. And discusses mediating effects of green technical innovation. The spatial overflowing effects and regional heterogeneity of new-energy vehicle industrial agglomeration on green economic efficiency also were analyzed. The entire Yangtze River economic zone has become a zoned new energy vehicle industrial agglomeration area, with its agglomerating level fluctuating up over years, and increasing from down- to upper-stream with growing variance. New energy vehicle industrial agglomeration promotes the green economic efficiency in Yangtze River economic zone through consolidating internal network resources and boosting external entire capabilities. Development of industrial agglomeration promotes green technical innovation through competition and cooperation, and development of green technical innovation can also boost economic drives and efficiency, proving its mediation between industrial agglomeration and green economic efficiency. New energy vehicle industrial agglomeration has spatial overflowing on green economic efficiency, varying among upper-, middle- and down-stream. This paper presents suggestions on enhancing industrial clustering construction to play a role in the long-term mechanism of new energy vehicle industry, boosting green technical innovation system and advancing regional heterogeneity of new energy vehicle.

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    CONSTRUCTION OF COMPUTABLE RURAL-URBAN HOUSEHOLD CARBON ACCOUNT FRAMEWORK NESTED IN URBAN CARBON ACCOUNT

    LIU Gengyuan, WANG Lina, GAO Yuan, et al
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (2): 1-12.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240304.003
    Abstract67)      PDF(pc) (2129KB)(64)       Save

    Household as the basic social unit is the major consuming entity. Carbon emission responsibilities established on consumption end are helpful to clarify the stakeholder-based dynamic mechanism for carbon reduction.  The present personal carbon management has a lot of issues, with unclear carbon emission boundary, complex personal carbon trading, personal carbon reduction entangling, and lack of stable management system, which can be resolved if household end as the trading base with urban-rural household carbon account being the core. This paper aims at establishing household carbon account framework on the basis of account range, margin, measurable methods and expandable linkage between urban carbon account and personal carbon sink. This paper summarizes the research situation of personal carbon account and household carbon account, and establishes a urban-rural household carbon account system including three sub-accounts of asset, equity and debits, and determines the measure margin, sampling method and calculation of household carbon account based on China’s featured carbon emission management system. Linkage of urban-rural household carbon account to urban carbon account has been further explained, and its methods have also been designed. Relation between urban-rural household carbon account and  individual carbon inclusion is differentiated. Combination of household carbon account with carbon market, visible hand carbon quota market with invisible hand carbon reduction equity market provides a new path for household consumption end carbon reduction, which may avoid overlapping responsibilities and easily link to China’s carbon management system. Urban-rural household carbon account can be a vital tool for China’s carbon management and carbon reduction, supporting carbon emission quota allocation, carbon reduction and trading, incentive mechanism design for carbon inclusion and mobilization of multi-level nested carbon reduction systems in cities.

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    RE-UNDERSTANDING EXCESSIVE COAL PRODUCING CAPACITY BASED ON MEASUREMENT AND SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF LATENT CLASS RANDOM MARGINALIZATION (LCRM)

    JU Yanping, WANG Xinhua
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 41-52.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230928.001
    Abstract58)      PDF(pc) (1265KB)(46)       Save

    Excessive producing capacity of coal industry is wasting resources, harmful to a green, efficient and safe energy system. Utilization rate of producing capacity is a key indicator to mark the excess of producing capacity, measuring it will be helpful to tell the excess degree of coal producing capacity and its developing trend, which provides references for authorities to make producing capacity policies and for coal producers to make market strategies. China ‘s coal resource is heterogeneously distributing with different burying geology, which determines its regional developing difference. The past measurements ignored its impacts on utilization rate of producing rate. This paper uses LCRMA to measure 2001 to 2017 utilization rate of coal producing capacity in China ‘s 24 provinces, classifies coal provinces into 4 groups, abundant type, moderate type, insufficient type and exhausted type in terms of the intrinsic variance of mining conditions, and applies spatial counting model to study their spatial evolution of utilization rate of producing capacity in these four groups. Utilization rate of coal producing capacity shows a rising-falling trend during the study period, average at 0.82, with excessive producing capacity varying with groups. Production in insufficient type and exhausted type is approaching the producing margin, suggesting a limited room to improve their utilization rate of producing capacity. Utilization rate of producing capacity in moderate type is average at 0.63, meaning an excessive producing capacity. Factors impacting utilization rate of producing capacity vary with groups. Economy works adversely, but positively on groups with abundant resources, advanced technologies and most large coal bases, indicating expanded producing capacity induced by economic growth ignores quality. Utilization rate of producing capacity is sensitive to changes of market demands, a growing demand is favorable for improving utilization rate of producing capacity. Spatialβconditional convergence exists in utilization rate of coal producing capacity, suggesting industrial migration helpful to spatially increase utilization rate of producing capacity, contributing to a diminishing regional difference. This paper presents suggestions on enhancing infrastructural construction and research inputs in western and new producing bases, accelerating quit and consolidation of lagging producing capacity in central, exerting the key “survival of fittest” role of market in coal producing capacity, actively directing human and management resources in insufficient and exhausted groups to abundant and moderate types so as to reach a quality development of coal industry.

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    THE ECONOMIC IMPACTS AND VARIATIONS IN ENERGY STRUCTURE ADJUSTMENT UNDER CARBON NEUTRALITY TARGET IN THE YANGTZE RIVER DELTA REGION

    WANG Lixiang, WANG Jianmin
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 25-34.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240016.001
    Abstract55)      PDF(pc) (1265KB)(70)       Save

    The 20th Report presented an objective of carbon peaking and neutralization. Energy structural adjustment is a vital means to reach carbon neutralization. This paper, based on their symbiosis of carbon emission and economic growth, incorporates economic quality development into carbon neutralization objective. In terms of their 2017 inputs/outputs of three province and one city in Yangtze River delta, this paper establishes a regional macro- and microscopic SAM table and CGE model, and sets up a macroscopic economic closed system, which are used to study the impacts and variance of energy structural adjustment on Yangtze River delta’s economy. As energy structural transformation advances, its economic impacts vary. In Jiangsu province, when clean energy has been replaced at 5%, 10%, 15% and 20%, the economic impacts of multiple indicators gain a biggest loss at 5%, loss at 10% less than at 5% and 15%. Economic dependance on fossil fuels varies with location, less in Anhui and Shanghai, then Jiangsu, and Zhejiang receives the biggest impacts. Economic impacts waves as energy structural adjustment moves forward. When Jiangsu’s clean energy is replaced at 10%, economic impacts of most indicators from agricultural, manufacturing, servicing, GDP and governmental income are less than when clean energy is replaced at 5% and at 15%. Energy structural adjustment is a critical approach to carbon neutralization in Yangtze River delta and even nationwide.

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    CHINA’S 2012 TO 2021 INDUSTRIAL DEVIATION BASED ON IMPROVED THEIL INDEX AND SHIFT-SHARE MODEL
    GAO Xiaowei, ZHANG Yingkun, LI Hua, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 15-24.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231212.002
    Abstract53)      PDF(pc) (1369KB)(52)       Save

    Overviews over references reveal that defects are existing in traditional industrial deviation E coefficient, Theil Index and Shift-Share model. Defects in E coefficient and Theil Index are in calculating principles, and those in Shift-Share model are in rationality of selecting reference system and feasibility of data collection. This paper presents an improved model that is used to study China’s 2012 to 2021 industrial deviation via cases. It concludes that China’s industrial deviation is diminishing. According to the corrected model and combined with the current global environment, this paper suggests that the first industry rely on scientific innovation to promote rural labors’ orderly migration between urban and rural areas and to materialize agricultural scale and modernization, that the second industry needs to be upgraded to reach and maintain an independent and complete industrial system, to inputs more in basic research to outbreak western technical blockage, that the third industry be focusing on financing and scientific education, increasing Hongkong, Shanghai and Beijing’s positions in world financing center, using financial innovation to avoid unfavorable constraints and impacts from global financing system, practicing the strategy for invigorating the country through science and education and exploring educational modes appropriate China’s situation from primary school to university stages.

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    INTERACTION BETWEEN INDUSTRIAL GREEN TRANSFORMATION & UPGRADING AND EMPLOYMENT STRUCTURAL OPTIMIZATION

    YANG Bingzhen
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 53-63.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230714.001
    Abstract52)      PDF(pc) (1467KB)(63)       Save

    To leverage the relation of green development with employment structural optimization and to fulfill functions of human resources allocation in increasing industrial total elements productivity have become a critical topic for economic quality development under the strategy of quality-to-power. This paper, based on 2011 to 2020 input/output and employment data of Jiangsu ‘s 13 prefectures, studies their green transformation/upgrading and employment structural changes, and uses PVAR model to analyze the interaction among productivity changes of green industrial total elements, employment structural advancing and rationalization. Jiangsu ‘s industrial green transformation & upgrading has made great progress, with a lack of rising power, at an annual growth rate at 0.74%, technical efficiency declining by 0.33% due to constraints by technical advances. Growth of input elements is outstandingly higher than the total elements productivity, suggesting industries still in an extensive state. Improving technical efficiency is the key factor for industries to promote industrial green transformation & upgrading. Jiangsu ‘s employment structural advancing and rationalization has a clear developing trend, but most prefectures are not at the same pace or both low. Imbalanced employment structural optimization and industrial green transformation & upgrading limits advancing technical efficiency. Industrial green transformation & upgrading plays a dual roles on employment structure, short-term destruction and long-term optimization, little on industrial green transformation & upgrading, but employment structural rationalization is of potential to boost industrial green transformation & upgrading at a contribution rate of 18.2%. Short-term employment structural advancing constrains rationalization, but the latter promotes the former, both at different pacing rates. Industrial green transformation & upgrading has a contribution rate at 80.5% to itself, lower rate to employment structural advancing and rationalization, at 11.2% and 8%, respectively. The mutual contribution rates between employment structural advancing and rationalization is much higher, up to 58.2%of employment structural advancing on rationalization. This paper presents suggestions actively adjusting employment structure to promote its rationalization and to reduce the impacts of industrial green transformation & upgrading on destroying employment structure and transferring labor passively, avoiding non-rationalization by advancing-oriented employment structure, and reaching employment structural optimization to boost industrial upgrading which is a sustainable path for economic development.

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    GREEN CREDIT POLICY, ESG PERFORMANCE AND CAPITAL STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT OF HIGHLY-POLLUTING FIRMS
    DONG Yue, PAN Haiying
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 75-85.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.002
    Abstract51)      PDF(pc) (1319KB)(138)       Save
    Green credit policy as a vital means to remove structural leverage is much helpful for highly-polluting firms to upgrade their capital structures. ESG focusing on environment, social and governance can impact highly-polluting firms’ capital structure adjustment. This paper, based on China’s A-listed 2011 to 2020 highly-polluting firms’ ESG performance, studies the effects of green credit policy on capital structural adjustment of highly-polluting firms. Green credit policy largely promotes the capital structural adjustment of highly-polluting firms, more for high debit firms than low debit firms. Green credit policy can enhance highly-polluting firms’ ESG performances, which can weaken the effects of green credit policy on capital structural adjustment of highly-polluting firms. Implementing effects of heterogeneity of financing constraints and commercial credit on green credit policy show that green credit policy can largely boost their capital structural adjustment of highly-polluting firms with strong financing constraints and low commercial credits compared to with weak financing constraints and high commercial credits. Relation between green credit policy and capital structural adjustment of highly-polluting firms plays a big role in optimizing credit resource allocation and pushing green transformation of highly polluting firms.
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    NEW URBANIZATION AND GRAIN SECURITY IN MAJOR GRAIN PRODUCING AREAS BASED ON MEADIATING EFFECTS OF LAND SCALING OPERATION
    HUA Jian, YANG Mengyi, CAO Huimin
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 50-60.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231213.001
    Abstract50)      PDF(pc) (1452KB)(32)       Save
    New urbanization has become the key means to reform urban-rural dual structural and to transform agricultural producing ways in major grain-producing areas under the new era developing background. This paper, based on 2007 to 2021 provincial panel data of China’s 13 major grain-producing areas, uses entropy to estimate China’s grain security level from perspective of industrial chain, applies new urbanization contents to establish a multiple-dimensional index system that is composed of population, economy, society and space, which is employed to estimate the new urbanization level and to study its impacts on grain security, and applies land scaling operation as mediating variable to study the mechanism of new urbanization and its dimensions on grain security. New urbanization largely boosts grain security in major grain-producing areas, and land scaling operation plays a mediating effect amid new urbanization works on grain security. Dimensional heterogeneity suggests that population urbanization and spatial urbanization play an outstandingly positive role on grain security, during which land scaling operation plays a partial or total mediating effect. This paper presents suggestions on boosting new urbanization, and encouraging land scaling operation, and making appropriate strategy from population, economy, society and spatial urbanization as a long-term approach for the major grain-producing areas.
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    MECHANISM OF ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION ON INCREASING GREEN DEVELOPMENT EFFICIENCY IN RESOURCES-BASED AREAS: A CASTE STUDY ON SHANXI PROVINCE
    LI Huitao
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 100-112.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240018.001
    Abstract47)      PDF(pc) (1732KB)(65)       Save
    Chinese-style modernization requires resources-based areas improve green development efficiency through economic transformation. This paper gives a summary of contents of economic transformation and green development efficiency in resources-based areas, and uses economic growth theory to study the mechanism and impacts of economic transformation on green development efficiency in resources-based areas, and employes non-desired-output super-efficiency SBM-Malmquist model and broken-tail regression model to study Shanxi’s 2004 to 2020 green development efficiency changes, and its mechanism of economic transformation on green development efficiency. It concludes that Shanxi’s economic transformation promotes its green development efficiency, mainly through adjusting industrial structure, saving energy and reducing consumption and advancing technology, little though its private economic development and infrastructures. This paper presents suggestions on enhancing & supervising private firms’ green transformation, implementing leading roles of transportation and communication, optimizing green technical innovation system and deepening market reform and management.
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    ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT DYNAMIC MODELLING AND MEASUREMENT OF LOESS PLATEAU VALLEY BASED ON ARIMA MODEL: A CASE STUDY ON LANZHOU CITY
    YU Wenbao
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 133-140.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.004
    Abstract47)      PDF(pc) (1307KB)(77)       Save

    To explore the causes of eco-footprint dynamic changes from perspective of economic development, this paper measures the developing path of the per capita ecological footprint from 2002 to 2014 in Lanzhou, a loess plateau valley city, uses ARIMA model to forecast its ecological footprint changing trend from 2015 to 2020. The per capita ecological footprint is rising from 2.70 hm2 in 2002 to 4.25 hm2 in 2014, increase of 1.57 times. And the rising rate of the per capita ecological footprint reaches to 4.04%, 7.84% lower than its GDP’s growing rate 11.88%, suggesting Lanzhou’s economic development speed is higher than speed of resources and environmental consumption. The per capita ecological footprint of Lanzhou from 2015 to 2020 still shows a rising trend, forecasted to reach up to 4.48 hm2, 4.61 hm2, 4.75 hm2, 4.89 hm2, 5.02 hm2 and 5.17 hm2, with an enlarging ecological deficit. Lanzhou’s gross ecological footprint is 19.59 times of the total area of urban land use, indicating a strong correlation between economic growth and ecological demands,indicating the inflection point of Environmental Kuznets curve doesn’t take place, implying a unsustainable status. This paper presents a path to decreasing Lanzhou’s ecological footprint from adjusting industrial structure, decreasing ecological deficit to promote economic quality and sustainable capacity, advancing green development, and constructing an ecological network of ecological diversity, appropriate layout, full-functional integration of natural ecosystems and rural-urban union to increase eco-environmental capacity.

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    SPATIAL IMBALANCE AND DYNAMIC EVOLUTION OF CHINA’S LOW-CARBON ENERGY CONSUMPTION STRUCTURE

    MA Hailiang, GAO Jie, JIN Ruiqi et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 113-123.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231212.001
    Abstract45)      PDF(pc) (1529KB)(59)       Save

    It is a key step to study China’s low-carbon energy consumption structural trend and to measure its spatial imbalance in advancing energy reform and green development. This paper, based on 2003 to 2020 energy consumption panel data of Chinese provinces/cities, uses Theil Index and spatial auto-correlation to study spatial imbalance and dynamic evolution of China’s low carbon energy consumption structure. The low carbon index of China’s energy consumption structure generally shows a rising trend, up 5.862 in 2020 from 5.298 in 2003. The spatial imbalance of China’s low carbon energy consumption structure is weak, in a rising-then-declining trend indicated by Theil Index. Regional low-carbon energy consumption structure variance largely impacts the overall difference. China’s low-carbon energy consumption structure is of obvious spatial positive correlation with spatial concentrating effect, relatively stably in overall spatial pattern, high-high concentrating in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai, weak-weak in southwest and central China. This paper presents suggestions on constructing regional interest union by mutually cooperation, on advancing industrial structure to stimulate social innovation and market, and on optimizing energy industry structure to push energy consumption transformation.

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    EVOLUTIONARY GAMING ANALYSIS ON ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION OF WATER TRANSFERRING PROJECTS BASED ON MULTIPLE STAKEHOLDERS
    LIU Linling, LIU Hongqin, TAN Lifeng
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 154-161.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240026.001
    Abstract45)      PDF(pc) (1319KB)(57)       Save
    Highly-frequent extreme weather catches all eyes on eco-environment. A coordinated and sustainable development between human and nature is an unavoidable way to China’s high-quality development. Water transferring projects are designed to mitigate water resource imbalance among areas, and water transferring projects trans-streams may involve multiple stakeholders, that makes ecological compensation a necessary guarantee for their sustainable development. This paper, based on a case study on Niulan River-Dianchi Water Replenishing Project, establishes a gaming model, macroscopically and microscopically, to study multiple stakeholders’ gaming mechanism regarding ecological compensation situation and issues. Macroscopically, spontaneous gaming between water-supplying areas and water-receiving areas can not reach a ecologically evolutionary balance, which needs to be intervened by upper administration on complaining cost, allowance and anticipated valuation of water-supplying areas. Microscopically, evolutionary gaming among governments, firms and the public is influenced by harness fee, governmental compensation and punishment strength. Simulation of Niulan River-Dianchi Water Replenishing Project indicates an evolutionary trend of protection of Niulan River, uncompensated Dianchi, and no supervision from upper administration. Dianchi is impacted by its compensation and complaining, and upper administration is impacted by punishment fines for Dianchi and higher administration’s and costs. This paper presents suggestions on widening financing ways, improving complaining-responding system, adopting governmental supervision and control amid water-transferring projects’ ecological compensation for their sustainable development.
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    TEMPORAL-SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION STRATEGIES OF HIDDEN CARBON EMISSION OF SHANXI CROSS-PROVINCIAL TRADE
    LIANG Jinghua
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 173-181.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.003
    Abstract42)      PDF(pc) (1555KB)(43)       Save

    Hidden carbon emission in cross-provincial trade has vital impacts on regional gross carbon emission and coordinated development, a key factor needed to be considered when planning carbon trade and reaching carbon peaking and carbon neutralization objectives. This paper uses multiple regional input/output model on hidden carbon in cross-provincial trade and China’s 2012 and 2017 input/output data to study the temporal-spatial changes of hidden carbon emission of Shanxi cross-provincial trade, and employes carbon-transferring-responsibility-sharing to estimate Shanxi’s responsibilities in hidden carbon emission amid its cross-provincial trade, and applies structural method to analyze the factors impacting hidden carbon emission changes in Shanxi’s cross-provincial trade. Shanxi’s net-transferred-in hidden carbon emission has increased by 12.490 kt during 2012 to 2017, while its net-transferred-in provinces numbers dropped to 25 from 28. Those having less net-transferred-out are concentrating in northwestern and southwestern China. Structural analysis suggests scaling effect be the leading factor increasing transferred-in and -out of Shanxi’s hidden carbon emission. This paper presents suggestions on optimizing Shanxi’s hidden carbon emission policies of its cross-provincial trade.

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    EMPIRICAL STUDY ON SYMBIOTIC EVOLUTION OF ADVANCED MANUFACTURING AND PRODUCTIVE SERVICING IN SICHUAN-CHONGQING AREA

    HUANG Dingxuan, WANG Mengyuan, TAN Binqiang, et al
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 150-162.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230814.001
    Abstract42)      PDF(pc) (2358KB)(160)       Save
    A coordinated development between advanced manufacturing and productive servicing is a crucial direction for serviced manufacturing, and a vital means for manufacturing ‘s quality development. This paper, aiming at this less studied topic in Sichuan-Chongqing area, uses Logistic symbiotic evolution model with Sichuan-Chongqing ‘s 2005 to 2020 advanced manufacturing and productive servicing data to study their symbiotic evolution from a perspective of industrial interaction. Sichuan-Chongqing ‘s advanced manufacturing is in its mature period, and its productive servicing in its developing period. The both have a symbiotic effect, an asymmetric mutual symbiotic relationship. Impacts of productive servicing on advanced manufacturing are stronger than that of advanced manufacturing on productive servicing. This paper put forward suggestions on constructing industrial coordinating mechanism between advanced manufacturing and productive servicing in Chengdu-Chongqing dual city economic zone, pushing its industrial ecological zone construction, and encouraging talents education in advanced manufacturing-productive servicing related universities-firms. This paper provides references for accurately telling their symbiotic stage of two industries, and making specific industrial policies.
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    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 1-5.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240606.001
    Abstract42)      PDF(pc) (1248KB)(53)       Save
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    TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EFFECTS OF DIGITAL ECONOMY ON HIGH-QUALITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT BASED ON GTWR MODEL

    YIN Qingmin, LIN Yinyin
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 86-99.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.005
    Abstract41)      PDF(pc) (2186KB)(483)       Save
    As digital technologies and digital industries are advancing, digital economy becomes a new drive to a high-quality economic development. Study on their relation is of strategic importance in promoting provincial high-quality economic development. This paper, by means of China’s 30 provinces/cities’ 2014 to 2020 panel data, uses entropy weighted TOPSIS to comprehensively score digital economy and high-quality economic development, applies spatial auto-correlation test and hotspot to analyze their spatial distribution on the basis of their temporal-spatial instability, and employs GTWR model to discuss their temporal-spatial response law between digital economy and China’s provincial high-quality economic development, and analyzes the path of digital economy to a provincial high-quality economic development. Digital economy has a strong spatial auto-correlation with high-quality economic development, with their hotspots concentrating on central and eastern China, and cold spots on western China. The spatial concentrating intensity of digital economy is diminishing while that of the high-quality development is maintained at a high level. Digital economy can outstandingly promote a high-quality economic development with impacting factor of temporal-spatial heterogeneity, showing a declining trend from south-eastern coastal to northwestern continent spatially, and a diminishing provincial difference to regional coordinated development. Digital economy variably drives the sub indicators of high-quality economic development, weakest on innovative development. This paper presents suggestions on further advancing regional coordinated development of digital economy in western China, promoting high-quality economic development through innovation, and promoting provincial high-quality development through digital economy. 
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    FDI, FINANCIAL PRESSURE AND GREEN TOTAL ELEMENT PRODUCTIVITY

    ZHU Ruirui, WANG Keliang, ZHANG Fuqin
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 77-90.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231011.001
    Abstract40)      PDF(pc) (1423KB)(97)       Save

    China ‘s economy is in a critical transforming period, which is powered by improving environmental pollution and increasing energy use efficiency. This paper, from dual perspectives of financial pressure and FDI, combines financial pressure, FDI and green total element productivity into a united research framework, uses 2003 to 2021 green total element productivity of 30 provinces/cities ‘ panel data in China to establish a SAR, SEM and SDM to experimentally study their relation among FDI, financial pressure and both with green total element productivity and spatial effects. Green total element productivity, FDI and financial pressure are highly spatially correlated. Financial pressure and FDI adversely affect the increment of total green element productivity, but their interaction works positively. FDI, financial pressure and their interaction have regional spatial heterogeneity on green total element productivity. The eastern China ‘s FDI increases green total element productivity through blocking neighboring ‘s green total element productivity, while financial pressure and their interaction constraint it. The central-western China ‘s FDI and financial pressure constraint increasement of green total element productivity, but their interaction and spatial overflowing can promote it. FDI, financial pressure and their interaction have obvious temporal heterogeneity on green total element productivity, outstandingly positively correlated during 2003 to 2008, strikingly negatively during 2009 to 2021 while their interaction positively. This paper presents suggestions on increasing FDI ‘s quality, using pollution halo effect to increase green total element productivity, raising local governmental financing power to economically support green economic transformation, establishing regional cooperation on controlling pollution.

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    MEASUREMENT AND TEMPORAL-SPATIAL PATTERN EVOLUTION OF CARBON SEQUESTRATION AND VALUES OF SHAANXI’S ECO-SYSTEM
    HUANG Xin, HAN Ling, MA Chaoqun
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 141-153.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231219.001
    Abstract40)      PDF(pc) (6922KB)(88)       Save
    Functional carbon sequestration of eco-system is one of key ways to carbon neutralization. This paper, from perspective of land use, uses carbon sequestration rating to estimate the 2000 and 2020 carbon sequestration and values of Shaanxi’s county-level forest, grasslands and wetlands ecosystems, and applies spatial statistics to reveal its temporal-spatial evolution. During 2000 to 2020, their carbon sequestration has increased at different levels, of which forest increased the most as the biggest contributor to Shaanxi’s eco-system. Carbon sequestration of Shaanxi’s county-level forests and grasslands is of outstandingly spatial clustering, carbon sequestration hotspots of forests are concentrating in Qinling mountainous area, that of grasslands in northern Shaanxi’s Great Wall Windy & Sandy Area, cold spots are all concentrating in Guanzhong plain. Southern Shaanxi’s Qinba mountainous area has the most capability in carbon sequestration, while northern Shaanxi’s loess hilly valley has the biggest increment. All cities have increased their carbon sequestration except Xi’an, Yan’an and Yulin are the top two in growth. The top 5 cities in carbon sequestration values in Shaanxi’s eco-system are Hanzhong, Yan’an, Ankang, Baoji and Shangluo, amounting to 78.33% of the entire province.
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    ASSET VALUES MATERIALIZATION MECHANISM OF FOREST CARBON SEQUESTRATION RESOURCES FROM PERSPECTIVE OF GAINS

    CAI Weimin, WANG Yanqiu, LIN Guobin, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (2): 13-22.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240304.004
    Abstract40)      PDF(pc) (1992KB)(29)       Save

    Asset values materialization of forest carbon sequestration resources plays a key role in obtaining the pilot objective of collective-owned natural resources asset entrust. This paper, based on a framework of situation-proposal-theory-system, studies how to materialize the asset values of forest carbon sequestration resources, providing reference for stakeholders to gain from ownership. Forest storage expansion method and market value method are used to measure the forest carbon sequestration values balance of China’s recent four times of inventorying forest resources with results showing that the balance is huge and has been steadily increasing, which explains the significance of this study. Governmental public data shows that forest carbon sequestration, owning huge values, can be converted into gains only from a small proportion. Forest administrations largely rely on governmental funding. It is vital to create new model to materialize forest carbon sequestration values, to convert balance into asset gains and to realize stakeholders’ benefits. This paper, based on the core connotation of Marxist dialectical materialism, presents a point of gain system view that is macroscopic, linking, and developing design. It equally treats natural resources’ economic values and asset gains, from gains to all-sharing objective. Each key step has been linked to materialize the economic values of forest carbon sequestration resource assets. Based on gain system view, this paper constructs the theoretical mechanism of forest carbon sequestration resource assets from overall framework, key steps and guarantees, initially forming a theoretical system which is employed to conduct system construction. Gains can be obtained through market, finance and industries, and suggestions on system optimization are given. Guarantees of gains can be through interactive-complete entrust, and also through collective ownership in distribution system from three distributions among central government, local government, enterprise and all people. Gain budget and use management should be established to make gain distribution institutional, normalized and public. 

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    TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF WATER WORKS RESORTS AND SPATIAL STRUCTURAL OPTIMIZATION OF WATER WORKS TOURISM IN YELLOW RIVER STREAM
    GUO Suting, DONG Shuxia, WU Yining
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 61-74.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240016.002
    Abstract39)      PDF(pc) (9340KB)(130)       Save

    This paper, aiming at promoting a coordinated development of water works tourism in Yellow River stream, uses gravity center standard deviation ellipse, kernel density and exploring spatial data analysis method to study the temporal-spatial evolution of water works resorts in 2009, 2014, and 2021 in Yellow River stream, and combines point-axis theory with central function index and gravity model to define the development nodes, axis and plates in water works tourism. Development of water works resorts in Yellow River stream has 3 stages. Resorts are spreading along E-W and S-N with gravity center shifting to southwest. Their distributing density shows scattering in the upper-stream and concentrating in the middle- and down-stream, high density concentrating areas are located along banks of Yellow River, Weihe River, Fenhe River and Qinhe River. Their spatial distribution generally displays a strongly positive correlation, high-high concentrating in Shandong province, low-low in Hehuang valley and partial Gansu province. Hotspots in Yellow River stream remain unchanged, while the cold spots are concentrating toward the upper-stream, and the sub-hotspots migrating to the northwestern middle-stream. Spatial structure after being optimized is composed of three levels of water works tourism development nodes, two levels of development axes and five development domains. This paper presents suggestions on differentiating domain variance, optimizing spatial pattern of water works tourism from construction status, water resources, geographic characteristics and social-cultural environment. And improving transportation, consolidating water works tourism, boosting radiation of node cities.

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    STRATEGY OF CLEAN AND EFFICIENT USE OF CHINA'S MODERN COAL CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
    NIE Chaofei, CHEN Wenhui, PENG Shiyao, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 6-20.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240510.002
    Abstract38)      PDF(pc) (5023KB)(41)       Save
    Abstract: Grouping of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) is a key path to clean and efficient use of modern coal chemical industry.China's current coal chemical industry has problems in increasing carbon emission intensity and high carbon reducing costs.This paper,based on the current status of China's modern coal chemical industry in production or producing capacity from producing, developing and planning projects,uses carbon dioxide capturing potential model and CCUS sourcing & sinking matching model to study the distribution,carbon emission,and carbon dioxide capturing potential,sourcing and sinking,and entireprocess costs of CCUS projects.China's modern coal chemical industry has formed in a layout of west Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi,Shanxi and Ningxia as the center,Xinjiang and Qinghai as the supplement,and east coast as the extension.Carbon emission of China's modern coal chemical industry shows a directly rising trend if considering the developing and planning projects,up to 263.88 million tons by 2020 from the developing projects, and up to 644.79 million tons from the planning projects.By 2020,carbon dioxide capturing potential of CCUS projects is up to 556.22 million tons annually,of which Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi,Xinjiang and Shanxi seat on the top,up to 148.73,99.88, 80.88 and 40.00 million tons respectively.On the basis of carbon dioxide capturing scales and pipe transporting economy,sourcing and sinking match is found well in Inner Mongolia & Shaanxi to Ordos basin, Shandong to Bohai bay basin, Xinjiang to Ordos and Junggar basin, Jiangsu & Zhejiang to Subei basin.Shaaxi, Shangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are suitable for prioritizing the use of modern coal chemical industry CCUS technology from the entire process costs, carbon capturing potentials and sourcing & sinking match. 
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    COUPLING COORDINATION BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION CARBON EMISSION EFFICIENCY AND ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE UNDER “DUAL CARBON”
    ZHU Zhiming, XU Jie, LI Hongyan, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 21-35.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240509.004
    Abstract37)      PDF(pc) (1411KB)(14)       Save
    Energy system entangles with ecosystem with mutual promotion and constraints.Advancement of coordination between carbon emission efficiency of energy consumption and ecological resilience is key to China's “dual carbon” strategy and quality economy.To further study their coupling coordination, this paper establishes an index system of carbon emission of energy consumption and ecological resilience based on China's 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), and applies coupling coordination model, spatial autocorrelation model and GM-ARIMA model to study 2004 to 2021 coupling coordination and its temporal-spatial evolution of China's 30 provinces in their carbon emission of energy consumption and ecological resilience, and forecasts their 2022 to 2026 coupling coordination.Their mean value 2004 to 2021 carbon emission efficiency of energy consumption and ecological resilience are less than 0.6 and 0.7, classified four coupling coordination types, basic coordinated, near mis-coordinated, light mis-coordinate, moderate mis-coordinated.From time scale, their coupling coordination during 2004 to 2021 had undergone fluctuated rising, fluctuated falling, continuously falling and stably unchanging trends.Geographically, their coupling coordination has a strong positive spatial auto-correlation with their local spatial concentrating model to be average.Forecast shows that their 2022 to 2026 coupling coordination values of scenario 2 and 3 is higher than scenario 1, suggesting decreasing carbon emission intensity can not only prevent ecological destruction,  but also boost the transformation and upgrade of energy consuming structures.
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    IPCC AR6'S VIEWS ON POTENTIAL IMPACTS AND HARNESS OF SOLAR RADIATION MODIFICATION ON NATURE AND SOCIETY
    ZHENG Guoliang, LIAO Hua
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (4): 1-9.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240226.001
    Abstract36)      PDF(pc) (1372KB)(21)       Save
    Discussions on solar radiation modification (SRM) to harness global climate change in academic domain have been rising. This paper gives an interpretation of IPCC ARR regarding its SRM's risks and obstacles on nature and society. SRM serves as an imperfect supplement in carbon emission reduction and removal, can offset radiation from manmade green gas emission through influencing the earth's radiation balance, reaching a fast cooling down and decrease other climatic hazards, but SRM has no solution to source of green gas, whose impacts on nature and human will remain with its rising concentration. Effectiveness and potential impacts of SRM is of spatial heterogeneity, and a long-term risk may be brought to human and nature upon its execution, uncertain on the crops production, human's health and eco-system. Decision must consider the regional heterogeneity and long-term risks to avoid its negative impacts on vulnerable areas and to human's offsprings. Slow research advances, low public recognition and ethic concept, and imbalanced nation's interests impedes SRM's scientific tests and international harness. SRM's research is challenged by unreliable evaluation conclusion, doubtful assumed rationality and future uncertainty. The current scientific basis cannot effectively support SRM's international harness. Nations with different interests, values and geopolitics are hard to reach agreement on SRM. Lack of official responsibilities and laws may bring new risks to international cooperation and peace. SRM's international harness covers policies, laws, science, public participation and technical supports, which shall be jointly developed with technical research.
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    VIEWS AND PRACTICES FROM CONSTRUCTING “MOUNTAIN-RIVER-FOREST-FARMLAND-MICROORGANISM” LIFE COMMUNITY TO PROMOTE LIQUOR-MAKING INDUSTRY’S QUALITY DEVELOPMENT
    DING Xiongjun, WANG Li, WEI Yuan et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (1): 124-132.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240026.002
    Abstract36)      PDF(pc) (3497KB)(55)       Save
    This paper innovatively incorporates microorganism in life community of “mountain-river-forest-farmland-lake-grassland-sand”, combines with regional features and liquor-making industry, and presents the concept of “mountain-river-forest-farmland-microorganism” through the path of “increasing water-improving atmosphere-protecting soil-preserving microorganisms-maintaining ecosystem balance”. Scientifically establishing “water use and management system” in the source to create Maotai Water Circulation Mode of Chishui River. Systematically maintain biodiversity in the source areas to construct a sound management system. Protect soil resources in the brewing areas and key functioning areas to improve ecological barrier. Boost microorganisms test and research in the core area and strictly control inputs of external microorganisms. Implement microscopic eco-environmental carrying capacity in the core area to prevent environmental pollution and to thoroughly protect “mountain-river-forest-farmland-microorganism” ecosystem balance, and to increase ecosystem stability in the producing areas. This paper studies the situation and issues in ecological harness in Maotai’s core brewing areas, presents path and zonation plans, and puts forward 87 detailed restoring projects of 5 categories for the brewing industry and Chishui river’s ecological protection. This paper is a good attempt and practice to the life community of  “mountain-river-forest-farmland-lake-grassland-sand”, helpful to construct an eco-environmental flagship in the liquor-making industry, and offers references for high standard protection and quality development of liquor-making industry.
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    RATIONAL THOUGHTS ON LITHIUM RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT AND UTILIZATION UNDER NEW ENERGY BACKGROUND
    WUYugen, SI Xiang, XU Shuping, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 90-96.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240509.007
    Abstract35)      PDF(pc) (1293KB)(30)       Save
    This paper uses statistic methods to study the global lithium resources distribution,development and utilization,and the demanding lithium metal led by the new energy industry,and discusses the issues in China's lithium resource exploration,development and utilization,and rationally analyzes the hot market in China's lithium resources.China's lithium battery industry is growing fast, leading to a surging demand for lithium mineral resources,which can not be satisfied by domestic supply,requiring vast imports.In 2021,China's dependence on imported lithium resources has decreased to 65% from the peak at 80% due to a rising domestic lithium resource development,to 55% in 2022,still highly depending on imports. China has advanced a lot in lithium resources exploration during the recent decade, both in theoretical research and in exploration practice,still with gaps in newly-added lithium reserve and exploration breakthrough with foreign mining giants. China's mining lithium has been increasing as lithium carbonate demands and prices are up,with issues in high mining costs and processing technologies.China's spodumene deposits,high grade,small size,limited by their geographic location, are hard to be mined, low in mining utilization.China's lepidolite deposits,large size, easy mining,but low grade and difficult processing.China's saline lithium has vast reserves,impacted by their geographic locations and high MG/Li ratio,leading to a slow rising production.China's private capitals are competing for domestic lithium exploration rights,resulting in overpayment for owning it,up to thousand times of asking price.Owning lithium exploration rights is not the ultimate objective,the owner should invest the exploration,mining and processing to provide lithium carbonate to the market,forming a sound development of industrial and supply chain.It's the essence of owning a lithium exploration right.
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    IMPACTS OF LOCAL GOVERNMENTAL BEHAVIORS ON INDUSTRIAL ENERGY ENVIRONMENTAL EFFICIENCY ALONG“THE BELT AND ROAD” PROVINCES/CITIES

    YANG Kaijun, WANG Wenxuan
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 91-104.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230825.001
    Abstract32)      PDF(pc) (1262KB)(44)       Save

    China has a big energy consumption during industrialization, leading to severe environmental pollution, which requires an improving energy use efficiency. This paper, based on the Belt and Road provinces/cities ‘ 2010 to 2020 industries, uses intrinsic growth theory and quality development demand to establish a global non-radial directional distance function (GNDDF), which is employed to estimate the industrial energy environmental efficiency along the Belt and Road provinces/cities. Tobit model is applied to study the inner connection of industrial energy environmental efficiency and local governmental interventions, local governmental economic competition, local governmental preference on innovation and on environmental protection, and to discuss the impacts of governmental behaviors on industrial energy environmental efficiency. Industrial energy environmental efficiency shows a distribution order of “oceanic silk road>average>the silk road economic zone”, and an order of “southeast line>southwest line>northeast line>average>northwest line” on the side lines. Local governmental economic interventions and economic competition adversely affect industrial energy environmental efficiency, but their preference on innovation and environmental protection work positively. When their interventions are decreasing in intensity, the impacts will largely switch from negative to positive, increasingly but not outstandingly. This paper presents suggestions on simplifying governance, empowering, optimizing local governmental functions for increasing industrial energy environmental efficiency.

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    TEMPORAL-SPATIAL FEATURES AND IMPACTS OF PLANTING AGGLOMERATION AND AGRICULTURAL AREA POLLUTION WITH EVIDENCES FROM YANGTZE RIVER STREAM

    MA Jun, DAN Zengweidan, GAO Huixian
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 115-129.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230726.003
    Abstract32)      PDF(pc) (2799KB)(68)       Save
    Rural revival is a pivot strategy to support quality development of China ‘s agricultural economy, of which planting agglomeration is the key step in optimizing rural layout, increasing agricultural structure and pushing agricultural development. To booster a green quality development of planting, this paper uses Gini coefficient, locality entropy and listing to estimate 2007 to 2020 planting agglomeration levels and agricultural area pollution emission of 19 provinces/cities in Yangtze River stream, and to analyze their temporal-spatial changing rules which are tested by means of spatial Dubin model and threshold model. Planting agglomeration differs from temporal-spatial distribution and changes of agricultural area pollution, with dominant agricultural production of obviously regional agglomeration, and steadily rising, variable in provinces/cities. Its agricultural area pollution has outstandingly spatial positive correlation, easily worsened by economy distance more than by geographical distance. Its striking positive spatial overflowing impacts the local environment and economy as well. A threshold effect exists in the impacts of planting agglomeration on agricultural area pollution, diminishing with rising agricultural economy. Agricultural area pollution is aggravated by rural population scale, economy and urbanization in Yangtze River stream, but improved by agriculturally technical advances and financial supports, little impacted by environmental regulations. This paper presents suggestions on optimizing spatial pattern of planting agglomeration to increase its quality, enhancing regional collaboration in controlling agricultural area pollution, pushing agricultural economy to mitigate agricultural area pollution via planting agglomeration, and appropriately using governmental funds and intensifying agriculturally environmental regulations to promote green planting.
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    DECOUPLING BETWEEN TOURISM CARBON FOOTPRINT AND INCOME IN JIANGSU ‘S YANGTZE RIVER ECONOMIC ZONE

    WANG Yao, ZHANG Beiying
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 130-137.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230809.001
    Abstract31)      PDF(pc) (1713KB)(54)       Save
    This paper, based on tourism and forest data of Jiangsu ‘s 8 coastal cities, uses “up-to-down” method to estimate carbon emission of tourism, and employs tourism carbon footprint and carrying capacity model to study the changes of tourism carbon footprint, carbon carrying capacity and carbon deficit of Jiangsu ‘ Yangtze River economic zone during 2016 to 2020, and employs decoupling theory to analyze their coordination between tourism carbon emission and tourism economic growth. The results show that its gross tourism carbon footprint and carbon carrying capacity have been increasing during 2016 to 2019, and decreasing during 2019 to 2020. Domestic and global tourism footprints are consistent with total changes. Tourism carbon deficit has been rising during 2016 to 2019, and falling in 2020. Tourism carbon footprint per capita displays a trend of “up-down-up”, like N-shaped. The changing trend of domestic tourism carbon footprint per capita is consistent with its gross, while the that of overseas has a changing trend of alike “√”.Tourism carbon carrying capacity per capita shows a “W-shaped” change. Tourism carbon deficit per capita has increased to 152.4kg/person in 2020 from 135.7kg/person in 2009 at a fast growing rate. Relation of tourism carbon emission with tourism income in Yangtze River economic zone during 2016 to 2020 is, in order, weak decoupling, expansive coupling, expansive coupling, weak decoupling and declining coupling, a non-coordinated development. This paper presents suggestions for Jiangsu ‘s Yangtze River economic zone on properly developing tourism resources, ensuring tourism eco-system security, abiding by resort ecological carrying capacity threshold, using flow-limiting and flexible entering time, advocating low carbon tourism, increasing forest carbon sink, planning carbon emission of travel agencies and hotels, and timely controlling tourism carbon emission decoupling status and levels.
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    ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION AND GOVERNMENTAL SUPERVISION UNDER POLLUTION INDUSTRIAL MIGRATION BASED ON SIGNAL GAMING OF COMPENSATION APPLICATION

    WANG Yufang, MA Xiaomin
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 105-114.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230710.001
    Abstract29)      PDF(pc) (1327KB)(25)       Save

    This paper, aiming at mitigating opaque information and policy loophole, uses compensation application as signal to establish a signal gaming model based on ecological compensation of local government under pollution industrial migration, which is applied to discuss its gaming balance under different conditions, and to analyze effective compensation mechanism of industrial migration sender to receiver, providing references for governmental ecological compensation and central governmental supervision. Complete success of separated balance as the premium solution exists, initiative compensation application is working in mitigating opaque information. Receiver shall consider to match ecological compensation in terms of its emission reduction, and sender shall accordingly give the compensation. Appropriate punishment is key to the balance in reaching a social premium balance when sender ‘s punishment meetsFt

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    MULTI-SCENARIO DEMAND FORECAST OF RAW NICKEL IN CHINA BASED ON GRAY GM-BP NEURAL NETWORK COMPOUND MODEL

    ZHOU Wenxiao, ZHAN Cheng, ZHANG Zhouyi, et al
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (2): 53-66.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20231123.001
    Abstract29)      PDF(pc) (1530KB)(26)       Save
    National Mineral Resources Planning (2016-2020), issued in 2016, lists nickel as strategic mineral. China is the largest nickel consumer, but insufficient in nickel resources with high dependence on external supply. Scientific forecast of raw nickel demand is of significance to secure nickel production and supply chains. This paper uses gray correlation to select China’s stainless steel production, GDP per capita, electroplating market scale, urbanization rate, industrial structure, and new energy vehicle production as driving variables to forecast nickel demand under different scenarios from demand side, and combines gray GM(1, 1) model with BP neural network to construct a GM-BP model based on residual minimization, which is used to forecast China’s nickel demand from 2015 to 2035. This compound model is effective in forecasting non-linear sequence data, with the fitting error smaller than GM(1, 1) model. China’s demand for raw nickel is forecasted at 1 822.2 kt in 2025, 2 720.8 kt in 2030 and 3 951.7 kt in 2035 at an annual rising rate of 4.26% in the 14th  Five-Year Plan, 10.54% in the 15th  Five-Year Plan and 9.78% in the 16th  Five-Year Plan. The rising demand trend for raw nickel will lead to a conflict between its supply and demand. China has to raise its supply capacity and decrease dependence on imports. This paper presents suggestions on upgrading stainless steel industry, optimizing processing and producing new alloy materials, and on boosting nickel exploration and development, and on diversifying import sources, and on supporting Chinese investors’ overseas nickel projects.
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    DEVELOPMENT-ECONOMY-ENVIRONMENT COUPLING COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT AND TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF#br# YELLOW RIVER'S MINERAL RESOURCES
    WANG Chengjun, YANG Qian, FENG Tao, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (4): 10-20.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240314.001
    Abstract29)      PDF(pc) (4188KB)(17)       Save
    Long-term over mining activities in Yellow River stream have led to severe eco-environmental issues. It is a key mission to promote a quality economy under environmental constraints. This paper, based on case study on 9 Yellow River stream provinces, selects 3 systems mineral resources development, economy and environment and their 7 tier-2 indicators and 28 tier-3 indicators to establish a coupling coordination evaluation system of mineral resources development, economy and environment in Yellow River stream, which is used to evaluate their comprehensive developing levels of the three systems in 9 provinces via their 2011 to 2021 panel data and by means of entropy. A coupling coordination model is constructed to study their coupling coordination among the three sub-systems with ArcGIS used to analyze its evolution in spatial pattern. All 9 provinces gained a rising comprehensive development index during 2011 to 2021 with down-stream higher than middle-stream and followed by the upper-stream, at 60.9%, 51.9% and 59.2% respectively. Province numbers with high coupling index have been increasing during 2011 to 2021 and provinces with low index have been decreasing. Coupling index in the middle- and down-stream is higher than the entire stream. From time scale, some provinces have been above coordinated during 2011 to 2021, some not with imbalanced coupling coordination but steadily forward. Spatially, all nine provinces have been stably rising in their coordinated index with 8 at coordinated, 88.89% of the total, high in east and low in west with polarization across provinces. This research provides theoretical references for Yellow River stream to protect and harness environment and to reach a regional economic coordinated development. This paper presents suggestions on focusing on imbalanced development, on planning, on developing mineral resources and on boosting eco-environment.
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    COUPLING COORDINATION BETWEEN NEW URBANIZATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT UNDER PROVINCIAL SCALE
    LIANG Hanwei, XIA Huaixia, CHEN Shuang, et al.
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 97-113.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240325.001
    Abstract27)      PDF(pc) (10627KB)(10)       Save
    China's rapidly-growing new urbanization has adversely affected China's regional sustainable development, which has also been challenged by rising global warming and extreme climate events. Study on the coupling coordination between new urbanization and sustainable development has become an imperative task in advancing China's high-quality economic growth. This paper, based on 2003 to 2019 population, economic, social and eco-environmental data of China's provinces, uses comprehensive index of new urbanization and environmental enhanced sustainable development index(ESDI)to establish a coupling coordination model and Gray Forecast Model GM(1, 1), which are applied to study the temporal-spatial evolution of coupling coordination between new urbanization and sustainable development and its developing trend. China's sustainable development largely varies with provinces, quantity of provinces with low ESDI first increased and then fell during 2003 to 2019, while those with high ESDI continuously rose. China's provinces are basically disordered or basically coordinated in their coupling coordination degree, generally showing a changing trend from basically disordered to basically coordinated, leaving most provinces’ new urbanization in lagging or blocked. This paper predicts that from 2020 to 2024, the coupling coordination degree between new urbanization and sustainable development are in basically coordinated in China's 20 provinces, 9 in basically disordered, and only Inner Mongolia in extremely disordered.
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    CARBON DIOXIDE REBOUND EFFECT BY CHINESE HOUSEHOLD RESOURCES CONSUMPTION FROM PERSPECTIVE OF “WATER-ENERGY-FOOD”
    CHENG Yusong, LI Yurong, ZHAO Yuhua
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (3): 62-77.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240509.003
    Abstract26)      PDF(pc) (4062KB)(14)       Save
    Carbon dioxide rebound effect is the root cause of rising carbon emission along with improving carbon emission efficiency.To further promote energy-saving-emission-reducing potential of Chinese household' resources consumption,this paper,aiming at the producing mechanism of carbon dioxide rebound effect (CRE) from household “water-energy-food” system, uses IPCC to estimate the 2015 to 2020 carbon emission of household water, energy and food consumption in China's 30 provinces, and applies changeable coefficient panel data model to calculate carbon dioxide rebound effect of household “water-energy-food” system,and analyzes its factors.2015 to 2020 carbon dioxide emission from Chinese household “water-energy-food” system in 30 provinces shows heterogeneity,generally stable from household water use,rising from household energy consumption,unchanging or falling from household food consumption.2015 to 2020 carbon dioxide rebound effect of household “water-energy-food” system can be classified as three forms,backfire effect,partial rebound effect and super-energy-saving effect.Rebound effects of household water use are partial rebound effect and super-energy-saving effect,that of household energy consumption is partial rebound effect,and that of household food consumption is super-energy-saving effect.Household usable income per capita and household size are the major factors impacting their carbon dioxide rebound effect of household “water-energy-food” system in China.The change trend of household per capita disposable income is consistent with the carbon dioxide rebound effect of household water consumption, while the change trend of household size is consistent with the carbon dioxide rebound effect of household energy consumption. 
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    STRUCTURAL OPTIMIZATION OF JIANGSU’S CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CONSTRAINED BY CARBON REDUCTION AND WATER ECOLOGICAL CARRYING CAPACITY

    CHEN Junfei, CHE Yajing, GU Yan, et al
    Resources & Industries    2024, 26 (2): 111-123.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20240305.002
    Abstract26)      PDF(pc) (1661KB)(32)       Save

    Yangtze River economic zone, as China’s key strategic zone, is closely related to national development by its ecological restoration and resources use. Jiangsu’s chemical industry, an intensive polluting and resources-depleting industry, needs to properly handle industrial development and resources & environmental protection, which is of significance to protect Yangtze River and realize carbon reduction. This paper establishes a multiple-objective optimization model of chemical industry under dual constraints of carbon reduction and water ecological carrying capacity, and applies NSGA-II-VIKOR algorithm to discuss the way to adjust Jiangsu’s chemical industrial structure. Balanced development scenario, compared with low-carbon, water-saving and economic development scenarios, can save water of 998.48×104  m3 , reduce carbon emission intensity by 4.27%, and make GDP rising rate up to 4.73% on the basis of benchmark year 2017. Water resources are used efficiently and carbon emission is largely reduced, while economy gains high-quality development. Chemical industrial structure needs to be adjusted through developing rubber and plastics, limiting petroleum processing, coking coal and nuclear fuel processing, using water-saving and carbon-reducing measures in chemical fiber manufacturing. Optimization of chemical industry needs to promote clean energy and reform energy consuming structure, with coal use down by 5.54% and gas & electricity use up by 5.45%. Water resources allocation should be consistent with industrial structural adjustment, which can save water by 9.8% in petroleum processing, coking coal and nuclear fuel processing, and 5.14% in chemical fiber manufacturing, which can be transferred to rubber and plastics sector. This paper presents suggestions on increasing regional ecological carrying capacity to realize high-quality development, establishing clean energy consuming system to raise energy efficiency, developing water-saving industries to materialize a coordinated sustainability in industrial development and water ecology.

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    DECOUPLING STATUS STUDY ON SHAANXI ‘S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND ECO-ENVIRONMENTAL PRESSURE

    YANG Xiuping, LIU Lili, YANG Kaiming
    Resources & Industries    2023, 25 (6): 64-76.   DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230818.001
    Abstract26)      PDF(pc) (2935KB)(53)       Save
    Economic development is mutually beneficial to environmental protection, marking a relation of human to nature, a necessity for sustainable development if harmonious, helpful to boost modern construction. This paper, aiming at a new path to and interaction between economic development and quality eco-environment, uses entropy to give weights to economic development and eco-environment, and establishes a weighted evaluation model and a decoupling model between the both, which is employed to study economic development ‘s coupling with eco-environmental pressure and temporal-spatial conversion of decoupling state. This paper analyzes their economic development level, eco-environmental development level and their temporal-spatial evolution of Shaanxi ‘s ten prefectures, studies their economic development ‘s coupling with eco-environmental pressure and decoupling state, focusing on annual coupling and decoupling dynamics, phased coupling and decoupling state. Improved Tapio decoupling model and GIS are used to discuss economic development ‘s coupling with eco-environmental pressure and temporal-spatial conversion of decoupling. Shaanxi ‘s economic development comprehensive index is stably waving, high in Guanzhong and northern Shaanxi, low in southern Shaanxi. Its eco-environmental comprehensive index is wavily rising, high in the southern, and low in the northern which has an active carbon emission. Annual decoupling between economic development and eco-environmental pressure is repeated, dynamic and non-sustainable, its phased decoupling shows a “U-shaped” feature. This paper presents theoretical references for Shaanxi ‘s ten prefectures to develop their economy, to relieve eco-environmental pressure and to reach sustainable development. 
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