资源与产业 ›› 2022, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (2): 132-142.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20210903.003

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吉林省粮食主产区农业生态可持续发展动态变化分析及对策研究

张海潮 1,刘晓静 1,马东来 2,陈 鹏 1   

  1. (1. 吉林师范大学 旅游与地理科学学院,吉林 四平 136000;
    2. 海南师范大学 地理与环境科学学院,海南 海口 570100
  • 收稿日期:2021-04-19 修回日期:2021-06-25 出版日期:2022-04-20 发布日期:2022-04-23
  • 通讯作者: 马东来,博士、副教授,主要从事区域经济发展与环境管理研究。67224776@qq.com
  • 作者简介:张海潮,硕士生,主要从事生态灾害风险评价研究。E-mail:859240821@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    自然资源部中国地质调查项目(DD20190199);中国工程院项目(cKCEST-2020-1-26)。

DYNAMIC CHANGES OF AND APPROACHES TO AGRICULTURAL ECO-SUSTAINABILITY IN JILIN'S MAJOR CROP AREAS

ZHANG Haichao 1, LIU Xiaojing 1, MA Donglai 2, CHEN Peng 1   

  1. 1. School of Tourism and Geographical Sciences, Jilin Normal University, Siping 136000, China;
    2. School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Haikou 570100, China
  • Received:2021-04-19 Revised:2021-06-25 Online:2022-04-20 Published:2022-04-23
  • Contact: MA Donglai
  • About author:E-mail:859240821@qq.com

摘要: 以吉林省粮食主产区为例,利用BBC模型和Malmquist分解指数分别计算2015年和2018年研究区23个县市农业生态可持续发展效率和各效率动态变化指数,从技术、规模、资源要素配置等角度分析研究区各县市农业生态可持续发展效率现状,并对其进行全局自相关分析,探讨研究区农业生态可持续发展空间格局和动态变化情况,揭示研究区当前在农业生态发展方面存在的问题,并针对这些问题提出相应的政策调整对策。结果表明,目前从整体上看,吉林省粮食主产区农业生态可持续发展水平一般,但是个别县市农业生态可持续发展水平较好,且23个县市差距较大。综合效率值小于1且由高到低依次为大安(0.941)>东辽(0.934)>磐石(0.926)>敦化(0.86)>东丰(0.77)>安图(0.76)>延吉(0.74)>永吉(0.71)>和龙(0.67),主要集中在辽源市、吉林市和延边朝鲜族自治州;吉林省粮食主产区23个县市综合效率在空间上具有依赖性和相关性,且综合效率水平在一定程度上呈现出空间聚集的特点;整体上吉林省粮食主产区农业生态可持续发展势态较好;长春市、四平市东部、松原市东部农业生态可持续发展水平已达到最优,舒兰、双辽、乾安、通榆、大安和东丰的综合效率水平在2018年得到提高,而综合效率有所降低的地区则主要集中在延边朝鲜族自治州、吉林市永吉县和磐石市以及辽源市东辽县;部分县市当前在发展农业生态方面存在着投入不合理的问题,永吉、敦化和东丰应减少冗余投入,扶余、前郭、长岭、乾安、洮南、通榆、大安、东辽应提高规模效率。

关键词: 农业生态, 可持续发展, BBC模型, Malmquist指数, 吉林省

Abstract: This paper uses BBC model and Malmquist index to estimate the 2015 and 2018 eco-sustainable efficiencies and efficiency dynamic change indexes of Jilin's 23 major crop counties, analyzes their status from technology, scale, resource element allocation, and studies the global auto-correlation, and discusses the spatial pattern and dynamic changes of agricultural eco-sustainability with issues disclosed and approaches presented. Jilin's agricultural eco-sustainability of its major crop areas is at a general level, but higher in a few counties/cities, largely variable among the 23 counties. Counties with efficiency less than 1 are, high to low, Da'an (0.941), Dongliao (0.934), Panshi (0.926), Dunhua (0.86), Dongfeng (0.77), Antu (0.76), Yanji (0.74), Yongji (0.71), Helong (0.67), most in Liaoyuan, Jilin and Yanbian. Their comprehensive efficiencies are independent and related each other, showing to some extent spatial concentration and good eco-sustainability, reaching up to the optimal in Changchun, eastern Siping eastern Songyuan, improved in Sulan, Shuangliao, Qian'an, Tongyu, Da'an and Dongfeng in 2018, but decreased in Yanbian, Yongji, Panshi and Dongliao. Inappropriate inputs in agricultural eco-sustainability exist in some counties that should be reduced in Yongji, Dunhua and Dongfeng, but increased in Fuyu, Qianguo, Changling, Qian'an, Zhaonan, Tongyu, Da'an and Dongliao.

Key words: agricultural ecology, sustainable development, BBC model, Malmquist index, Jilin province

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