我国能源消费与进出口关系的协整分析

资源与产业 ›› 2008, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (4): 133-135.

• 问题研究 • 上一篇

我国能源消费与进出口关系的协整分析

任建军

（河北大学经济学院，河北保定 071000）

收稿日期:2008-03-18 修回日期:2008-06-05 出版日期:2008-09-12 发布日期:2008-08-20
作者简介:任建军(1984— ),男,硕士生,主要从事统计与数量经济分析研究。E-mail:rjj_1984@yahoo.com.cn

COORDINATING ANALYSIS OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND IMPORT & EXPORT

REN Jian-jun

(School of Economics, Hebei University, Baoding 071000, China)

Received:2008-03-18 Revised:2008-06-05 Online:2008-09-12 Published:2008-08-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

能源作为必不可少的生产要素之一，其消费与进出口之间存在着一定的数量关系。结合1985—2005年的统计数据，实证研究了我国能源消费与进口、出口的协整关系和Granger因果关系。结果表明,能源消费与进口、出口之间存在协整关系，并且出口是能源消费的格兰杰原因，能源消费是进口的格兰杰原因。

关键词: 能源消费；进出口；协整分析；Granger因果关系检验；误差修正模型

Abstract:

Energy is one of necessary productive factors. Its consumption is quantitatively related to the import and export in China. This paper, based on the data from 1985 to 2005, studies the coordinating relationship and Granger consequence between energy consumption and import & export with the results implying a coordinating relationship between energy consumption and import & export, of which export is the Granger cause for energy consumption and the energy consumption is the Granger cause for import.

Key words:

energy consumption; import and export; coordinating analysis; Granger Causality Test; error medication model

中图分类号:

F064

任建军. 我国能源消费与进出口关系的协整分析[J]. 资源与产业, 2008, 10(4): 133-135.

REN Jian-jun. COORDINATING ANALYSIS OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND IMPORT & EXPORT[J]. Resources & Industries, 2008, 10(4): 133-135.

我国能源消费与进出口关系的协整分析

COORDINATING ANALYSIS OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND IMPORT & EXPORT

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