关键词: 矿产资源消费, 人均镍消费, 人均GDP, 消费预测, 全球

Abstract:

This paper, based on a relationship between mineral resource demand per capita and economic growth per capita, named as “S” model, finds out the “S” rule between Nickel demand per capita and GDP per capita, combined with economic development level, population changes, scientific improvement, and infrastructure, classifies countries into developed nation group, industrialized nation group and developing nation group, and forecasts their future 20year’s nickel demand. Abundant as the Nickel resource is, it is far from its market, which will lead to an outstanding change in its demand structure.It is forecasted that the global nickel demand will rise in the future 20 years and climb up to twice as today, of which the industrialized nation group will be the principal.

Key words: mineral resources consumption, nickel consumption per capita, GDP per capita, forecast of consumption, global