基于云模型的煤炭建设项目经济评价

资源与产业 ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (5): 68-74.

基于云模型的煤炭建设项目经济评价

董思思^1,*,董春游²

（1黑龙江科技学院经济管理学院，黑龙江哈尔滨 150022； 2黑龙江科技学院研究生学院，黑龙江哈尔滨 150022）

收稿日期:2013-03-11 修回日期:2013-07-13 出版日期:2013-10-20 发布日期:2013-10-20
通讯作者: 董思思（E-mail: sisi1986413@vip.qq.com）

FEASIBILITY STUDY ON COAL CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BASED ON CLOUD MODEL

DONG Si-si^1,*, DONG Chun-you²

(1. School of Economics and Management, Heilongjiang College of Technology, Harbin 150022, China;  2. School of Graduate, Heilongjiang College of Technology, Harbin 150022, China)

Received:2013-03-11 Revised:2013-07-13 Online:2013-10-20 Published:2013-10-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

煤炭作为我国主要能源行业，在整个国民经济发展与社会进步中具有举足轻重的地位和作用。在分析我国现有煤炭建设项目经济评价理论和方法的基础上，通过全面、系统地分析煤炭建设项目经济评价的特点和构建原则，引入以数理统计和模糊评判为基础的云模型方法，选择财务内部收益率、投资利税率、非煤产业比重、原煤单位设计生产成本、税后财务净现值、投资利润率、税后投资回收期、吨煤投资、建井总工期9个指标，构建了包容性发展思想和可持续发展理念为原则的煤炭建设项目经济评价体系和评价方法。应用这套方法对内蒙古柏树坡煤矿项目的3个方案进行评价与分析，确定了方案的优劣等级，可为项目建设提供参考。

关键词: 云模型, 煤炭资源, 建设项目, 经济评价

Abstract:

Coal, as China's major energy source, holds a vital position in China's economy and society. This paper, based on Chinas existing theories and methods in evaluating the feasibility of coal construction projects, analyzes its features and rules, and adopts the cloud model of statistics and fuzz estimation to selects nine financial indexes to establish an evaluation method with a concept of sustainable development and intolerance view, which is employed to evaluate the feasibility of Inner Mongolia's Baishupo coal project, and to determine its classes, offering reference to its construction.

Key words: cloud model, coal resource, construction, feasibility study

中图分类号:

F206

董思思，董春游. 基于云模型的煤炭建设项目经济评价[J]. 资源与产业, 2013, 15(5): 68-74.

DONG Si-si, DONG Chun-you. FEASIBILITY STUDY ON COAL CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BASED ON CLOUD MODEL[J]. Resources & Industries, 2013, 15(5): 68-74.

参考文献

[1]董春游,马云东.可持续发展煤炭建设项目REESP系统研究[M].北京: 煤炭工业版社,2002
[2]陈洪娜,刘长东.论包容性增长与科学发展观的关系[J].江南社会学院学报,2011,13(1):53-55
[3]王新建,唐灵魁.“包容性增长”研究综述[J].管理学刊,2011,24(1):26-31
[4]刘向阳.包容性增长应以改善民生为主题[J].中国城市经济,2011(2):231
[5]董思思,董春游.基于云模型的秀山县矿产资源可持续发展评价[J].资源与产业,2012,14(3):31-35
[6]何雷,李丽平.基于云模型的电力变压器状态综合评判[J].华北电力大学学报,2009,36(3):98-102
[7]李德毅.不确定性人工智能[M].北京: 国防工业出版社,2005
[8]Kaichang D,Deyi L,Deren L. Knowledge representation and discovery in spatial databases based on cloud theory[J].International Archives of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing,1998,32(3/1):544-555
[9]Tang Pan,Zhou Jian.An integrated planning and execution model for supporting emergency response: 2012 IEEE 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management(IE & EM 2012)[C].Changsha: Chinese Industrial Engineering Institution,CMES,Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers,Beijing Section, 2006: 699-718
[10]崔天宝.基于云模型的短期电价预测的研究[D].保定:华北电力大学,2008
[11]李德毅,孟海军,史雪梅.隶属云和隶属云发生器[J].计算机研究与发展,1995,32(6):16-18
[12]杨朝晖,李德毅.二维云模型及其在预测中的应用[J].计算机学报,1998,21(11):962-969
[13]柳炳祥,李海林,杨丽彬.云决策分析方法[J].控制与决策,2009,24(6):64-66
[14]刘常昱,李德毅,潘莉莉.基于云模型的不确定性知识表示[J].计算机工程与应用,2004,40(2):28-34
[15]王倩.基于熵权法的耕地整理潜力综合评价：以兰州市为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2009