关键词: 出口贸易, 环境污染, VAR, 浙江

Abstract:

This paper, based on a generalized impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis of VAR model, studies the dynamic interactions between exporting trade and five polluting indexes during 1991 to 2008 in Zhejiang province, also explains the long-term dynamic impacts of these five indexes under a rising exporting quantity. The results display a positive contribution to SO₂ discharge of exporting trade, but no positive contribution to other four polluting materials, which suggests that the exporting trade shall not lead to an increase in industrial pollution, inversely, will be helpful to manage the pollution and to decrease the discharges. SO₂ shall be a focus to be decreased in quantity in Zhejiang Province, which can promote the economic development and environmental protection.

Key words: exporting trade, environmental pollution, VAR； Zhejiang