数字经济与产业结构升级——理论逻辑与实证检验

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20241210.001

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 数字经济已成为推动新质生产力发展的重要引擎，是推进中国式现代化的重要驱动力，数字经济通过发挥人才集聚的调节作用和数字技术的外溢效应为我国产业结构转型升级注入强劲动力。利用2010—2021年中国31个省份（自治区、直辖市）的面板数据，运用双向固定效应模型和中介模型，实证检验数字经济对产业结构升级的影响机制，为数字经济发展赋能区域经济协调发展提供了重要理论依据。研究表明：1）数字经济对产业结构升级具有正向的推动作用，经过内生性处理和稳健性检验后，这一结论仍然成立，其中对产业结构高度化效率产生的推动作用最为显著。2）作用机制检验发现，挖掘人力资本潜力和提升科技创新效率是数字经济促进地区产业结构升级的重要路径，但是科技创新路径的作用效果存在异质性，受限于一定的技术门槛。3）区域异质性检验发现，在东部地区，数字经济对产业结构升级影响显著，而在中西部地区，这一效果则相对较弱。数字经济不仅是推动产业结构升级的重要动力，也是实现区域经济协调发展的关键因素。因此，建议在推进数字经济高质量建设过程中，立足地区发展需求，开发人力资本红利，积极投入科技创新研发，全面协调发展策略，以提升产业生产效率为核心，推动数字经济与实体经济深度融合，共同开创我国经济发展的新篇章。

关键词: 数字经济, 产业结构升级, 人力资本, 科技创新

Abstract: Digital economy has become a significant engine for new quality productivity, and also a major drive for China-style modernization. It empowers China's industrial structural upgrading through its talents'attracting effect and digital outflowing effect. This paper uses 2010 to 2021 panel data of China's 31 provinces (municipalities and prefectures) to establish a dual-directional fixed effect model and mediating model, which are employed to empirically test the impacting mechanism of digital economy on industrial structural upgrading, providing theoretical references for digital economy to empower coordinated development of regional economy. Digital economy positively drives industrial structural upgrading, validated through endogeneity processing and robustness test, outstandingly for efficiency of industrial structure upgrading. Digital economy promotes industrial structural upgrading mainly through developing human capital potential and raising technical innovative efficiency. Technical innovation has heterogeneity in its effects, but all showing a positive promotion in three industries above specific technical threshold. Regional heterogeneity test indicates the impact of digital economy on industrial structural upgrading is outstanding in eastern area, but weak in central and western areas. Digital economy is not only the key drive to industrial structural upgrading, but also a critical factor to coordinated development of regional economy. This paper presents suggestions on cultivating human capital, inputting technical innovation to improve productivity and promoting the deep integration of digital economy and real economy during high-quality digital economic construction.

Key words: digital economy, industrial structural upgrading, human capital, technical innovation

中图分类号:

玛依努尔, 马继越. 数字经济与产业结构升级——理论逻辑与实证检验[J]. 资源与产业, 2025, 27(1): 22-34.

Maynur, MA Jiyue. DIGITAL ECONOMY AND INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURAL UPGRADING: THEORETICAL LOGIC AND EMPIRICAL TEST[J]. Resources & Industries, 2025, 27(1): 22-34.

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