Abstract:

This paper analyzes the relation between natural resources abundance and economic development during 1970 to 2003 in major nations. A series of variables such as investment ratio, scientific level and population growth imply a positive correlation between natural resources abundance and economic development in major nations, and proves that non-existence of “resources curse”. The European coastal nations have an outstanding positive correlation between natural resources abundance and economic growth. For those gulf rich nations abundant in natural resources like Kuwait and Qatar have a positive correlation between GDP per capita and resources abundance, but a fast population growth, low investment ratio and poor scientific level will baffle a sustainable economic growth in these nations who largely rely on resources.

摘要：

本文分析了1970—2003年世界主要国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长之间的关系，在控制投资率、科技水平、人口增长率等一系列变量后，世界主要国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长存在正相关关系，不存在“资源诅咒”。西欧沿海国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长存在显著的正相关关系。尽管丰富的资源把科威特、卡塔尔等海湾国家带入富国行列，海湾国家人均GDP与资源丰裕度之间存在正相关关系，但由于人口快速增长、低投资率和落后的科技水平，严重依赖资源产业的海湾国家难以获得持续的经济增长。

关键词: 自然资源, 丰裕度, 经济增长