Abstract: The vast emission of carbon dioxide worsens aggravates greenhouse effect globally. A low carbon world is a necessity. This paper applies Kuznets curve to study their correlation and influence between carbon emission and GDP per capita in Urumqi during 1998 to 2012, and finds that carbon emission is closely related to GDP, up to 0992, rising with GDP, far to reach the environmental Kuznets curve inflection. Kuznets curve shows a “N” shape indicating a higher energy consumption at a high environmental cost. In order to implement Urumqis “12th fiveyearplan” and to reach low carbon urban construction and national civilized urban construction, Urumqi shall be developing economy and be focusing on energy saving and environmental improvement to reach a green development.

Key words: greenhouse effect, Kuznets curve, lowcarbon city, green development, Urumqi

摘要： 全球主要温室气体CO2的大量排放导致温室效应的加剧，建设低碳世界、低碳城市成为必由之路。基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的分析，对新疆首府乌鲁木齐市1998—2012年人均碳排放与人均地区生产总值的关联性和影响度进行了研究，发现乌鲁木齐市碳排放和GDP呈现出很强的相关性，相关系数高达0992，且人均碳排放随着人均GDP的增长总体上呈现出高增长态势，环境库兹涅茨曲线的拐点还远远没有到达，库兹涅茨曲线呈现出小幅度趋缓的“N”型，GDP增长的能耗过大，环境代价过高。为落实乌鲁木齐市“十二五”规划，实现低碳城市建设和全国文明城市建设，乌鲁木齐市应在大力加快经济增长的同时，更加注重节能减排和环境质量的改善，以此来实现绿色发展。

关键词: 温室效应, 库兹涅茨曲线, 低碳城市, 绿色发展, 乌鲁木齐