Abstract:

A temporal and spatial change analysis is a base to make a regional tourism development strategy. This paper, according to Sichuan inbound tourism 2000-2009 information, analyzes its concentration and preference extent, and reveals a temporal and spatial change of Sichuan’s inbound tourism market. The seasonal concentration index lies between 0.088 to 0.118, indicating an even yearly allocation and no clear seasonal difference. A low concentration index from Hongkong and Japan is quite lower than other regions. The geographic concentration index is continuously declining, which means a decentralizing inbound tourism market distribution. The region distribution varies largely, mainly concentrating in Chengdu and Aba. A new rise is forming along Leshan, Suining, Ziyang and Ganzi. The gross preference extent is also descending, implying a lowering competitiveness in Sichuan’s inbound tourism.

Key words: inbound tourism market, seasonal intensity index, geographic concentration index, preference extent, Sichuan province

摘要：

旅游市场时空变化特征分析是科学制定区域旅游发展战略的基础。以2000—2009年四川入境旅游统计数据为基础，通过对入境旅游时空分布集中性、亲景度等指标的计算和分析，揭示了四川入境旅游市场时空变化特征。研究发现入境旅游市场的季节集中指数在0.088~0.118之间，说明入境旅游市场年内分配很均匀，无明显的淡旺季之分；入境旅游市场中香港和日本的年际集中指数较低，而其他客源市场年际集中指数偏高。四川入境旅游市场地理集中指数不断降低，表明入境旅游市场分布趋于分散，入境旅游者的地区分布差异显著，主要集中在成都和阿坝州，乐山市、遂宁市、资阳市和甘孜州成为入境旅游接待的新的增长极。入境旅游市场的亲景度总体趋于下降，表明四川入境旅游的竞争力在下降。

关键词: 入境旅游市场, 季节性强度指数, 地理集中性指数, 亲景度, 四川省