江苏省沿江经济带旅游碳足迹与收入脱钩分析

doi:10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230809.001

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 以江苏省沿江8市旅游及林业相关数据为基础，采用“自上而下”的方法对旅游业碳排放水平进行测算，依据旅游碳足迹及承载力模型计算并分析江苏省沿江经济带2016—2020年旅游碳足迹、碳承载力及碳赤字的变化特征，根据脱钩理论分析沿江经济带旅游碳排放与旅游经济增长的协调关系。研究结果显示：1）江苏省沿江经济带2016—2019年旅游碳足迹总量、碳承载能力处于增长状态，2019—2020年处于减少状态，国内、国际旅游碳足迹与总量变化趋势一致；旅游碳赤字严重，2016—2019年不断扩大，2020年减小。2）人均旅游碳足迹呈“上升—下降—上升”趋势，类似于字母“N”，人均国内旅游碳足迹动态变化趋势与总量相似，人均国外旅游碳足迹变化趋势近似于“√”；人均旅游碳承载能力呈字母“W”状变化；人均旅游碳赤字从2009年的135.7 kg/人上升到2020年的152.4 kg/人，增长速度较快。3）2016—2020年沿江经济带旅游碳排放与旅游收入的关系依次为弱脱钩、扩张性耦合、扩张性耦合、弱脱钩及衰退性耦合，发展很不协调。据此，建议江苏省沿江经济带秉持适度开发旅游资源的原则，切实维护旅游生态系统安全；坚守“景区生态承载力”阈值，积极运用限流、错峰入园等技术与措施；提倡低碳旅游，增加森林植被碳汇；对旅行社、酒店等行业及其相关碳排放进行系统规划与统筹布局，及时调控旅游业碳排放脱钩状态与水平。

关键词: 旅游碳排放, 沿江经济带, 碳承载力, 脱钩关系, 江苏省

Abstract: This paper, based on tourism and forest data of Jiangsu ‘s 8 coastal cities, uses “up-to-down” method to estimate carbon emission of tourism, and employs tourism carbon footprint and carrying capacity model to study the changes of tourism carbon footprint, carbon carrying capacity and carbon deficit of Jiangsu ‘ Yangtze River economic zone during 2016 to 2020, and employs decoupling theory to analyze their coordination between tourism carbon emission and tourism economic growth. The results show that its gross tourism carbon footprint and carbon carrying capacity have been increasing during 2016 to 2019, and decreasing during 2019 to 2020. Domestic and global tourism footprints are consistent with total changes. Tourism carbon deficit has been rising during 2016 to 2019, and falling in 2020. Tourism carbon footprint per capita displays a trend of “up-down-up”, like N-shaped. The changing trend of domestic tourism carbon footprint per capita is consistent with its gross, while the that of overseas has a changing trend of alike “√”.Tourism carbon carrying capacity per capita shows a “W-shaped” change. Tourism carbon deficit per capita has increased to 152.4kg/person in 2020 from 135.7kg/person in 2009 at a fast growing rate. Relation of tourism carbon emission with tourism income in Yangtze River economic zone during 2016 to 2020 is, in order, weak decoupling, expansive coupling, expansive coupling, weak decoupling and declining coupling, a non-coordinated development. This paper presents suggestions for Jiangsu ‘s Yangtze River economic zone on properly developing tourism resources, ensuring tourism eco-system security, abiding by resort ecological carrying capacity threshold, using flow-limiting and flexible entering time, advocating low carbon tourism, increasing forest carbon sink, planning carbon emission of travel agencies and hotels, and timely controlling tourism carbon emission decoupling status and levels.

Key words: tourism carbon emission, Yangtze River Economic Zone; carbon carrying capacity, decoupling relation, Jiangsu Province

中图分类号:

F590

王瑶, 张北赢. 江苏省沿江经济带旅游碳足迹与收入脱钩分析[J]. 资源与产业, 2023, 25(6): 130-137.

WANG Yao, ZHANG Beiying.

DECOUPLING BETWEEN TOURISM CARBON FOOTPRINT AND INCOME IN JIANGSU ‘S YANGTZE RIVER ECONOMIC ZONE [J]. Resources & Industries, 2023, 25(6): 130-137.

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