Resources & Industries ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (3): 31-37.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20190408.004
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NI Wenqing
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倪文卿
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Abstract: JJJ's industrial integration sits on the top in their co-integration development. Industrial development level, marking development level of areas, varies with Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. This paper, according to industrial economics and regional economics, uses locality entropy, Granger Causality test and VAR model impulse response to measure JJJ's industrial integration level. JJJ's third industry is of comparative advantages in Tianjin's manufacturing and Hebei's mining industry. Two-way causality exists in Hebei's industrial upgrade and economic growth, but not in Tianjin, Beijing's economic growth is one-way causality of industrial upgrade. This paper, based on JJJ's industrial integration situation and issues, presents suggestions on optimizing regional industrial layout, boosting regional connection and promoting liquidity of resources towards JJJ's integration.
Key words: JJJ, industrial integration, regional entropy, VAR model
摘要: 京津冀产业一体化是京津冀协同发展的重中之重,产业发展水平是衡量地区发展水平的重要指标之一,而北京、天津、河北产业发展水平参差不齐,京津冀协同发展提出至今,三地产业发展是否转型。依据产业经济学和区域经济学相关理论,利用区位商方法、格兰杰因果检验以及VAR模型脉冲响应分析,测算京津冀地区产业一体化水平。结果表明:京津冀地区第三产业具有比较优势,天津市的制造业和河北省的采矿业具有比较优势;河北省产业升级与经济增长存在双向因果关系,天津市产业升级与经济增长不存在因果关系,北京市经济增长是产业升级的单向因果关系。结合京津冀产业一体化的现状与存在的问题,提出优化区域产业布局、加强区域联动、促进资源要素流动等加快京津冀产业一体化步伐的对策与建议。
关键词: 京津冀, 产业一体化, 区位商, VAR模型
CLC Number:
F290
NI Wenqing. MEASUREMENT AND FEASIBILITY STUDY OF BEIJING-TIANJIN-HEBEI(JJJ)‘S INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATION[J]. Resources & Industries, 2019, 21(3): 31-37.
倪文卿. 京津冀产业一体化测度及可行性研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2019, 21(3): 31-37.
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URL: https://www.resourcesindustries.net.cn/EN/10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20190408.004
https://www.resourcesindustries.net.cn/EN/Y2019/V21/I3/31