Abstract:

Since 1990s, the world has witnessed a rapid economic growth in India, whose service industry, especially the IT industry goes as leading industries, but China's economy is still in the form of industrialization. Can India, as of a big population, poor in infrastructures, unbalanced economy, polarization, and short in energy, go fast with economy leaping over industrialization? India's economic development and energy consumption is becoming an important factor for global economy and energy. This paper analyzes the relation between energy consumption and economic development in India, studies its energy demands, predicts it energy demands in 15 years, attempting to clarify India's economic growth trend from the energy.

Key words: energy; consumption; economy; India

摘要：

20世纪90年代以来，印度经济的持续高速增长引起世界关注。以服务业尤其是信息产业为先导的经济增长方式与中国的工业化经济形成鲜明对比。印度这样一个人口大国能否跨越工业化道路，实现经济跨越正在接受考验——落后的基础设施、经济发展不平衡、贫富极端分化，以及能源资源匮乏等正在制约着印度的持续发展。印度的经济发展与能源走势已成为分析全球经济与能源格局不可回避的重要因素。本文通过对印度经济与能源关系的全面分析，探寻印度能源需求规律，预测印度未来15年的能源需求，力图从能源角度解读印度经济发展走向。

关键词: 能源；消费；经济；印度