Abstract:

This paper, based on MLR’s oil-gas investment environment projects, gives a brief introduction to oil-gas resource in Middle East, selects indexes according to data and references, and establishes an evaluation index system through expert evaluation, which is used to evaluate the oil-gas investment environment in Arabic 4 nations and Persian Gulf 6 nations. By using the clustering analysis, the prioritization shows that Saudi Arab ranks top, followed by Iraq, Iran and Kuwait if no political risks.

Key words:  Middle East, oil-gas resources, investment environment, AHP, clustering analysis

摘要：

依托国土资源部油气资源投资环境项目对中东地区石油和天然气资源进行简要介绍，通过对相关数据及文献进行查阅初步选取各级评价指标，再通过专家评分法对各指标得分进行汇总得到最终指标评价体系，进而对阿拉伯半岛4国和波斯湾6国油气投资环境进行评价。通过对一级指标得分进行聚类分析得出中东10国的优选结果，其中沙特阿拉伯是最佳的投资国，其次在没有政治风险情况下，伊拉克、伊朗和科威特也是值得开展油气投资的国家。

关键词: 中东, 油气资源, 投资环境, 层次分析法, 聚类分析