Abstract: This paper uses PettyClark Theorem and other related references to study the contribution of industrial structure change to economy based on a case study on Tajikistan. According to its statistical data, this paper analyzes the industrial increment rate fluctuation, and applies factor analysis and variance method to evaluate the contribution of industrial structure change to economy, and uses Thayer index to evaluate the impact on economic growth structural harmony. Industrial structure change plays a key role in economic growth, and its optimization and upgrade will produce a positive contribution. This paper presents suggestions on industrial structure.

Key words: industrial structure, economic growth, contribution, Tajikistan

摘要： 根据“配第—克拉克定理”及相关产业结构理论，研究产业结构变动对区域经济增长的贡献。利用塔吉克斯坦共和国统计委员会的统计数据，分析各产业增长比例波动情况，采用因素分析法和作差法，评价塔吉克斯坦产业结构的变动对经济增长速度的影响。通过泰尔指数评价产业结构变动对经济增长结构协调性的影响。评价结果表明，产业结构的变动对经济增长有着显著作用，产业结构的优化升级会对经济增长产生积极的贡献。最后，提出对策建议。

关键词: 产业结构, 经济增长, 贡献, 塔吉克斯坦