Resources & Industries

SYSTEM DYNAMICS SIMULATION OF RESOURCE AND ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY IN MINING CITIES

An Qier, Wang Lang.

2016, 18(6): 1-7. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.002

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In order to evaluate the resource environment carrying capacity in mining cities, this paper applies system dynamics to establish an evaluation model comprised of mineral resource development subsystem, eco-environment sub-system and social economic development subsystem, which is used to measure their relation among the variables in the model by using Tangshan’s 2001-2014 data and to forecast future scenario. As economy develops, Tangshan’s third industry will rise at its proportion, leading to a decreasing demand of coal. Accordingly, Tangshan’s coal production will decline especially in next 30 years. After that, coal production is estimated to be stable at 40 million tons per year. As investment on exploration rises, newlyadded mineral reserve will be increased with the remaining reserve falling to the bottom in 2030, and slowly rising after then. Hence, Tangshan’s mineral resource carrying capacities will first decline and rise.

A CASE STUDY ON SHANXI PROVINCE: COINTEGRATIO BETWEEN GROSS ENERGY  PRODUCTION AND PER CAPITA INCOME IN RESOURCE BASED AREAS

CUI Zhan-ju, GE Jian-ping

2016, 18(6): 8-14. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.003

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Energy production in resourcebased areas marks their economy and industrial development. This paper, based on a case study on Shanxi province, studies the relation between gross energy production and per capita income, reflecting the influence of resource industrial development on residents income in resourcebased areas by using VAR model and Shanxi’s 1995-2014 panel data. During industrial development in resource based areas, urban residents benefits more than rural residents. Rural per capita income has a long term one way equilibrium with resource industrial development. Over dependency on resource industry will surely lead to an economic recession. It is hard to keep a sustainable development of resource industry even stimulating internal demand and increasing energy consumption if industrial structure remains unchanged.

RESEARCH OVERVIEW OF MARINE CARRYING CAPACITY IN CHINA

SU Zi-long, YUAN Guo-hua

2016, 18(6): 15-20. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.010

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Marine carrying capacity is a key indicator marking if marine resource and environment supports marine economy. This paper, based on some related research advances, analyzes its concept, classification, index system and comprehensive evaluation. In China, the definition of marine carrying capacity is yet united; its index system and comprehensive evaluation method come from land/water resource and environment domain, which is the focus for the further research. This paper provides supports and references for Chinas research and alerting on marine carrying capacity.

RESEARCH FRAMEWORK OF RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY

AN Hai-zhong, LI Hua-jiao

2016, 18(6): 21-26. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.001

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The global low carbon revolution, shale gas revolution and new energy revolution requires how to analyze, evaluate and monitor one nation’s, or one region’s resources and environment carrying capacity. This paper, based on the research advances, presents a four-in-one resources and environment carrying capacity research framework of theory, method, data and application. The theory incorporates resources as support, eco-environment as constraint, sustainability as objective. The method is from qualitative to quantitative, from single to comprehensive, from static to dynamic. The data includes annual statistics, remote sensing, on site surveyed, temporal series, simulation, and text gray data. The application covers dynamic monitoring, analysis, risk alerting, policy modeling, and decision support. This study provides a necessary research basis and path for further studying resources and environment carrying capacity.

TEMPORALSPATIAL DISTRIBUTION AND RESEARCH HOT TOPICS OF CHINA’S RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY BASED ON LINE NEWS REPORTS

LI Hua-jiao, ZHANG Han-jiang, LIU Nai-rong,etal

2016, 18(6): 27-32. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.008

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Compared with the longtermed academic literatures, news is of timeliness that it can rapidly deliver the latest information regarding the resource and environment carrying capacity. This paper by means of network to introduce on line news of Baidu and Web snapshot, analyzes their media distribution, news trending, levels regional distribution, popular topics changes regarding the topic of resource and environment carrying capacity based on 691 pieces of news, and visualizes the results. This paper offers the basis and supplement to the research on resource environment carrying capacity, and an effective path for the public to know more about resource environment carrying capacity. 

EVALUATION MODEL OF REGIONAL WATER CARRYING CAPACITY IN SHALE  GAS DEVELOPMENT BASED ON SYSTEM DYNAMICS METHOD

JIANG Meng, LI Hua-Jiao

2016, 18(6): 33-39. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.007

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This paper uses system dynamics to establish an evaluation model of regional water carrying capacity in shale gas development based on water resource, population, industrial development and shale gas, simulates the Bradford county, Marcellus, USA’s vital shale gas base under different scenarios, and provides references for China’s shale gas development and policy from analyzing population, industrial development and water demand for single shale gas hole before developing, improving shale gas recovery during mining through enacted laws, regulations and allowance, increasing the reflux rate and reusing rate, and accordingly raising the carrying capacity of regional water resource on shale gas development.

LAND CARRYING CAPACITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON NATIONAL LAND PRIORITY ZONATION

YUAN Guo-hua, ZHENG Juan-er, ZHOU Wei

2016, 18(6): 40-44. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.012

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Resources and environment carrying capacity refers the coordinating ability of resources development, environmental protection and social economy, varies with land spaces, so its evaluation shall be conducted in land zones. This paper classifies China’s land into urbanized zone, township zone, agriculture zone, mining zone, oceanic zone, and ecological protection zone. Land carrying capacity is the core of resource and environment carrying capacity. This paper establishes index system to study the land carrying capacity from farmland, construction and ecological land, and presents issues in evaluating land carrying capacity.

EVALUATION OF LAND RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY IN NINGGWO, ANHUI

ZHOU Wei, ZHENG Juan-er, YUAN Guo-hua

2016, 18(6): 45-51. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.013

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This paper, based on Ningguo city’s resources and environment, establishes an index system in evaluating resource and environment carrying capacity, uses the comprehensive index to evaluate Ningguo’s land resource and environment carrying capacity form land, water and geological environment carrying capacity. The result indicates an overload in farmland carrying capacity, excess in construction, ecology, water resource and environment, and balance in geological environment, providing suggestions for promoting Ningguo’s coordinated development of resource environment and economy.

EVALUATION OF CHINA’S GIS BASED LAND CARRYING CAPACITY

FU Lian-zhen, YUAN Guo-hua, XI Xiao, etal

2016, 18(6): 52-58. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.005

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Land is the foundation and carrier of human’s activity and lives. Evaluation of its carrying capacity marks the matching degree of land resources with economy and social activities, and provides a vital basis in land zoning and management. GIS powered by its modeling, spatial analysis and mapping can be used in this evaluation. This paper, based on China’s Annual Statistics 2015, uses GIS to establish an index system to evaluate land carrying intensity with farmland, construction land and ecological land as major factors, which is employed to evaluate China’s 31 provinces (cities). Results show that China’s land carrying capacity is closely related to farmland, construction land and ecological land intensity. Land carrying status is remarkably influenced by terrain and social & economic development. In developed areas such Beijing, Shanghai and Jiangsu, land carrying capacity is overloaded, critically overloaded in Tianjin, almost overloaded in northwestern, northern, central south and southeastern, excess in northeastern, Inner Mongolia and Yunnan.

INTERACTION OF BEIJING TIANJIN HEBEI'S ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ENVIRONMENT

GAO Xiang-yun, An Hai-zhong, HAO Xiao-qing

2016, 18(6): 59-67. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.006

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Optimization and upgrade of energy consumption and friendly developing eco-environment play a core part in Beijing Tianjin Hebei’s coordinated development strategy. Energy consumption structure interacts with environment. This paper selects coal, oil and gas consumption in Beijing Tianjin Hebei as energy structure variable, waste gas, gas and solids discharge as environment variable to establish a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model, which is used to study their Johansen Co integration test, and their interaction via impulse response function and variance decomposition. The result shows an outstanding cointegration between the both, with a lagging effect on three wastes discharge, and coal, oil and gas consumption contributing variably to three wastes discharge. A balanced development between Beijing Tianjin Hebei’s energy consumption and environment may be achieved by making full use of such lagging effect and contribution extent and realtime evaluation & adjustment of exterior conditions.

COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION OF GUIZHOU’S RESOURCE AND ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY

WU Feng-yang, WANG Hui

2016, 18(6): 68-73. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.011

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This paper uses Guizhou’s 2010-2014 economy, population, environment, resource data to establish an index system to evaluate Guizhou’s resource environment carrying capacity in combination with TOPSIS, applies entropy method to give weight to each index and to calculate by years the economic level and resource environment carrying capacity. Results show that Guizhou reached its best economy in 2013, best resource environment carrying capacity in 2014, an overall rising trend of social economy and resource environment carrying capacity with intermittent falling. Industrial structure contributes the most to economy and residents income in economic domain, while the key factor in resource environment carrying capacity changes to environmental pollution and treatment from resource, indicating the environmental issue arising from economic development which also impacts its local resource environment carrying capacity.

RESEARCH OVERVIEW OF INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND RESOURCE ENVIRONMENT CARRYING CAPACITY

ZHONG Wei-qiong , DAI Tao, GAO Xiang-yun

2016, 18(6): 74-80. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161226.001

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This paper reviews the recent ten years research achievements regarding industrial development and resource environment carrying capacity and finds that the reaches can be classified into two categories, one is industrial planning constrained by resource environment carrying capacity, the other is the influence of industrial development on resource environment carrying capacity. The key points are focused on three domains, direction of industrial transformation, transferring of coastal industry to central and western, and the external cost counting. As new industries grow, research in the future may focus on new strategic minerals, specific environment, resource carrying capacity changes followed by the circular economy.

A CASE STUDY ON BEIJING: RELATION BETWEEN URBAN ECONOMY AND ECOLOGICAL CARRYING CAPACITY

FANG Wei

2016, 18(6): 81-86. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.004

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Most resources for urban economy may be obtained from outside, but urban ecological carrying capacity is limited. Some cities keep a fast economy but with worsening environment, so urban economy is constrained by its ecological carrying capacity. This paper divides urban ecological system into population, environment and social economy sub systems, and establishes urban ecological carrying capacity framework. System dynamic model of Beijing’s ecological carrying capacity is constructed to analyze the relation between Beijing’s ecological carrying capacity and economy in 2016—2020 under three scenarios, and worsening degree and trend of Beijing’s ecological environment under different ecological developing rate, aiming at reaching the balancing point between Beijing’s economy and ecological protection.

INFLUENCE OF CHINA’S STEEL TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

LI Li, LEI Ya-lin, WU San-mang, etal

2016, 18(6): 87-91. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161223.009

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The economic globalization leads to a frequent and close trans national trading. Steel industry as China’s pillar industry provides vital basis for China’s economy. This paper uses Granger causality and 2003—2015 data to analyze the influence of China’s steel trade on economic growth. It concludes that steel export trade has a positive influence on economy, but its import has no obvious causality with economy. This paper presents suggestions on expanding steel export, which can deal with the excess of steel production capacity, and promote the economic growth as well.

STUDY ON INTERNATIONAL NICKEL ORES TRADE EVOLUTION RULE BASED ON COMPLEX NETWORK

QIAO Fang-gang, LIU Xue-yong

2016, 18(6): 92-97. DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20161226.003

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Nickel is an excellent widely used non ferrous metal. So many countries are involved in the international nickel ore trade, leading to a complicated trading relation. This paper uses complex network, based on UN Comtrade’s 2006—2015 international nickel ore trading data to analyze the countries and trading quota. In 2007, due to the global financial crisis arising from America’s Subprime mortgage crisis, the global international export of nickel ore largely declined, but more nickel producing nations got involved in this trade with more nickel trading partners. In the international nickel ore trading network, China and the United States have a strong control. After 2009, the global economy began to recover, the international nickel ore market commenced to stably develop.

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