基于包容性全要素生产率的长三角经济高质量发展测度研究

doi:10.13776j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20230426.008

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 新时代背景下，以五大发展理念引领长三角建设是我国重要的战略部署。测度长三角26个地级市的包容性全要素生产率，分析其发展规律，判断各城市的发展趋势，为长三角高质量发展提供参考。基于2007—2019年长三角26个地级市的面板数据，以五大发展理念为基础，构建包含创新指数、协调指数、绿色指数、共享指数和开放指数的包容性全要素生产率指标体系，分析各城市的经济高质量发展水平，并利用GIS技术和核密度估计分析其动态演变规律。研究表明：长三角总体高质量发展水平较高，且呈现逐年上升趋势，上海市的经济高质量发展水平最高，江苏省次之，之后是浙江省，安徽省的高质量发展水平最低，其中上海市的包容性全要素生产率平均得分为1.161，江苏省为0.949，浙江省为0.835，安徽省为0.815；2007—2019年长三角城市群中处于高水平的城市数量增加至12个，同时处于低水平的城市数量减少至1个，长三角的经济高质量发展水平逐年提高，并且呈现出连片分布特征；虽然长三角城市经济高质量发展水平逐步提高，但城市之间的发展水平差距逐渐扩大，呈现出两极分化现象。结合长三角经济高质量发展水平的结论，长三角各城市应打破区域局限，推动区域协调联动发展。上海应发挥龙头作用，重视基础设施建设，着力发展集成电路、生物医药、人工智能等关键领域；江苏应主动把握数字经济发展，推进创新体系建设，激发创新活力，以创新驱动赋能高质量发展；浙江应加强杭州、宁波都市圈和上海都市圈的协调联动发展，促进浙江省经济高质量发展；安徽应调整工业结构，减小重污染产业的规模，因地制宜地采取经济发展策略，促进省内各城市的发展，从而提高安徽省的经济发展水平。

关键词: 高质量发展, 包容性全要素生产率, 时空演变, 长三角

Abstract: Construction of Yangtze River Delta is guided by five major development concepts of innovation, coordination, green, sharing and openness in the new era. Measurement of the inclusive total factor productivity in Yangtze River Delta ‘s 26 prefectures, analysis of its development law, and judgement of each city ‘s developing trend, can provide reference for high-quality development of Yangtze River Delta. This paper uses 26 prefectures ‘ panel data from 2007 to 2019 to establish an inclusive total factor productivity index system based on five major development concepts to analyze their high-quality economic level, and applies GIS and kernel density to estimate their dynamic evolutional laws. Yangtze River Delta has a rising and high development level. Shanghai is the top, followed by Jiangsu, then Zhejiang, with Anhui at the bottom. Shanghai gets a score of inclusive total factor productivity at 1.161, Jiangsu at 0.949, Zhejiang at 0.835, Anhui at 0.815. Among Yangtze River Delta city cluster, twelve cities are at the high level, and one city is at the low level in 2019. High-quality economic development level has been rising over years with emerging clusters, but gaps also swell among cities as polarization. Yangtze River Delta cities should break regional barriers and promote regional coordinated development. Shanghai should play the leading role and attach importance to infrastructural construction, integrated circuit, biological medicine, and artificial intelligence. Jiangsu should focus on digital economy and innovative system.Zhejiang should boost a linked development of Hangzhou and Ningbo with Shanghai.Anhui should adjust industrial structure, reduce heavy pollution industries, and adopt proper economic policies to promote the regional development among its cities.

Key words: high-quality development, inclusive total factor productivity, temporal-spatial evolution; Yangtze River Delta

中图分类号:

F207

王济干, 包婷婷, 邢贞成. 基于包容性全要素生产率的长三角经济高质量发展测度研究[J]. 资源与产业, 2023, 25(3): 82-91.

WANG Jigan, BAO Tingting, XING Zhencheng.

MEASUREMENT OF HIGH-QUALITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN YANGTZE RIVER DELTA BASED ON INCLUSIVE TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY [J]. Resources & Industries, 2023, 25(3): 82-91.

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