关键词: 经济, 发展潜力, 功效系数法, 综合评价

Abstract: China's economy varies from provinces, also different in development potential. This paper by using the comprehensive evaluation theory for economic development potential, constructs the grade one index system from economic development, resource, infrastructure, and induced grade two 13 indexes. This paper uses expert scoring combined with AHP to give weight of each index, and applies effective coefficient to evaluate the economic development potential in China's 31 provinces. The results show bigger potentials are concentrating in the eastern China, like Tianjin, Beijing, Jiangsu, Fujian and Shanghai, small in central-western China, like Ningxia, Tibet, Shanxi, Qinghai and Hebei. This gap will exist and become further in a long term, so the western shall adopt corresponding approaches.

Key words: economy, development potential, effective coefficient, comprehensive evaluation