资源与产业 ›› 2014, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (6): 124-128.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.2014.06.019

• 资源环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

新疆1990—2010年能源消费碳排放反弹效应研究

王长建1,*,张虹鸥1,汪菲2,3,张新林2,3   

  1. 1广州地理研究所, 广东广州510070;2中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830011; 3中国科学院大学,北京100049
  • 收稿日期:2013-11-15 修回日期:2014-09-24 出版日期:2014-12-20 发布日期:2014-12-20
  • 通讯作者: 王长建(E-mail: elephant1987_kevin@gmail.com)
  • 基金资助:
    广州地理研究所所长基金创新人才项目(030)

REBOUND EFFECT OF CARBON EMISSION OF XINJIANG IN ENERGY CONSUMPTION DURING 1990 TO 2010

WANG Chang jian1,*, ZHANG Hong ou1, WANG Fei2, 3, ZHANG Xin lin2, 3   

  1. 1. Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangzhou 510070, China; 2.Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; 3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2013-11-15 Revised:2014-09-24 Online:2014-12-20 Published:2014-12-20

摘要: 文章基于IPAT模型对新疆能源消费碳排放的反弹效应进行分析。结果表明:1990—2010年期间,新疆碳排放总量不断增长,碳排放强度则呈现下降趋势。导致碳排放呈现反弹趋势的主要影响因素是规模效应,同时技术进步所带来的能源效率提升对碳减排的作用非常有限。碳排放强度不断下降,其中第二产业能耗碳排放强度的贡献率最大。因此,在未来的社会经济发展过程中,应更加注重提升技术进步对碳减排的贡献作用,同时合理调整产业结构,实现碳排放的有效控制。

关键词: 能源消费, 碳排放, 碳排放强度, 反弹效应

Abstract: This paper, based on IPAT model, analyzes the rebound effect of carbon emission of Xinjiang in its energy consumption during 1990 to 2010, finds a rising emission but falling intensity. The chief factor is scale effect. Energy efficiency from technical innovation is quite limited for carbon emission. The second industry contributes a lot to falling intensity. This paper suggests to focus on technical advances, adjusting industrial structure to control effectively the carbon emission in the future.

Key words: energy consumption, carbon emission, carbon emission intensity, rebound effect

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