资源与产业 ›› 2013, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (3): 86-92.

• 资源型城市可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于我国省际面板数据的碳排放量影响因素分析

谭 娟, 宁剑菲*   

  1. (北京工业大学 经济与管理学院,北京 100022;长沙理工大学 经济与管理学院,湖南 长沙 410000)
  • 收稿日期:2012-10-19 修回日期:2013-04-14 出版日期:2013-06-20 发布日期:2013-06-20
  • 通讯作者: 宁剑菲(E-mail:fei18373152645@163.com)
  • 基金资助:

    教育部人文社科基金青年项目(12YJC630183)。

FACTORS OF CARBON EMISSION BASED ON CHINA‘S PROVINCIAL PANEL DATA

TAN Juan, NING Jian fei*   

  1. (1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China; 
    2. School of Economics and Management, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410000, China)
  • Received:2012-10-19 Revised:2013-04-14 Online:2013-06-20 Published:2013-06-20

摘要:

采用我国30个省份2003—2010年的相关数据,使用面板数据分析方法对影响我国各省份碳排放量的各种经济发展内生因素进行了实证分析。结果表明,我国目前的产业结构状况、居民消费方式、城市化进程都会引起碳排放量在不同程度上的增加,上一年碳排放量也对当年排放量产生正向影响,政府环境规制投入在当年不能降低碳排放量,而且还将付出一定的碳排放成本,但其抑制碳排放量的作用会在第二年体现出来,并且滞后一期抑制作用要强于当期的碳排放成本,有利于降低碳排放量。

关键词: 碳排放, 影响因素, 动态面板, 节能减排

Abstract:

This paper uses China’s thirty province’s 2003-2010 panel data to analyze their carbon emission and economic factors, and shows that carbon emission goes up with industrial structure, people’s consumption ways and urbanization progress, previous year’s carbon emission has a positive influence on that year’s carbon emission. Government’s environment input fails to decrease carbon emission, but bears the costs of carbon emission. The restricted carbon emission will be charged in next year with a lower cost, helpful to decrease the carbon emission.

Key words: carbon emission, factors, dynamic panel; energy-saving and emission-reduction

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